Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40593641›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

West Antarctic ice retreat and paleoceanography in the Amundsen Sea in the warm early Pliocene.

Sandra Passchier, Claus-Dieter Hillenbrand, Sidney Hemming, Werner Ehrmann, Thomas Frederichs, Steve M Bohaty, Ronald Leon, Olga Libman-Roshal, Lisbeth Mino-Moreira, Karsten Gohl and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Repeated major inland retreat of Thwaites and Pine Island glaciers (West Antarctica) during the Pliocene.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Sandra PasschierEarth and Environmental Studies, Montclair State University, Center for Environmental and Life Sciences Rm 220, 1 Normal Ave, Montclair, NJ, USA. passchiers@montclair.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7204-7025
Claus-Dieter HillenbrandBritish Antarctic Survey, High Cross, Madingley Road, Cambridge, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0240-7317
Sidney HemmingLamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8117-2303
Werner EhrmannInstitute for Earth System Science and Remote Sensing, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany.
Thomas FrederichsMARUM - Center for Marine Environmental Sciences, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0976-0332
Steve M BohatyInstitute of Earth Sciences, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany.
Ronald LeonEarth and Environmental Studies, Montclair State University, Center for Environmental and Life Sciences Rm 220, 1 Normal Ave, Montclair, NJ, USA.
Olga Libman-RoshalEarth and Environmental Studies, Montclair State University, Center for Environmental and Life Sciences Rm 220, 1 Normal Ave, Montclair, NJ, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0000-4470-2870
Lisbeth Mino-MoreiraEarth and Environmental Studies, Montclair State University, Center for Environmental and Life Sciences Rm 220, 1 Normal Ave, Montclair, NJ, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0009-9403-9531
Karsten GohlAlfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9558-2116
Julia WellnerEarth & Atmospheric Sciences, University of Houston, Houston, TX, USA.

Funding

NSF | Directorate for Education & Human Resources | Division of Undergraduate Education (DUE) 1909824NSF | Directorate for Geosciences (GEO) 2114839
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Mass loss from polar ice sheets is poorly constrained in estimates of future global sea-level rise. Today, the marine-based West Antarctic Ice Sheet is losing mass at an accelerating rate, most notably in the Thwaites and Pine Island glacier drainage basins. Early Pliocene surface temperatures were about 4 °C warmer than preindustrial and maximum sea level stood ~20 m above present. Using data from a sediment archive on the Amundsen Sea continental rise, we investigate the impact of prolonged Pliocene ocean warmth on the ice-sheet-ocean system. We show that, in contrast to today, during peak ocean warming ~4.6 - 4.5 Ma, terrigenous muds accumulated rapidly under a weak bottom current regime after spill-over of dense shelf water with high suspended load down to the rise. From sediment provenance data we infer major retreat of the Thwaites Glacier system at ~4.4 Ma several hundreds of km inland from its present grounding line position, highlighting the potential for major Earth System changes under prolonged future warming.

Identifiers

PMID40593641
PMCPMC12219073

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.