Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40593633›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Deep learning assessment of metastatic relapse risk from digitized breast cancer histological slides.

I Garberis, V Gaury, C Saillard, D Drubay, K Elgui, B Schmauch, A Jaeger, L Herpin, J Linhart, M Sapateiro and 22 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Understanding and targeting the tumour matrisome.Nature reviews. Clinical oncology · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

32 authors.

I Garberis *INSERM U981, Gustave Roussy, Paris-Saclay University, Villejuif, France. ingrid-judith.GARBERIS@gustaveroussy.fr.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0501-8520
V Gaury *Owkin, Paris, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3605-3027
C SaillardOwkin, Paris, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3061-839X
D DrubayGustave Roussy, Office of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Université Paris-Saclay, Villejuif, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9997-9727
K ElguiOwkin, Paris, France.
B SchmauchOwkin, Paris, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9478-6395
A JaegerOwkin, Paris, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2759-3494
L HerpinOwkin, Paris, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5535-0601
J LinhartOwkin, Paris, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8420-8495
M SapateiroDepartment of Pathology, Gustave Roussy, Paris-Saclay University, Villejuif, France.
F BernigoleDepartment of Pathology, Gustave Roussy, Paris-Saclay University, Villejuif, France.
A KamounOwkin, Paris, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8403-1944
A FiliotOwkin, Paris, France.
O TchitaOwkin, Paris, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0008-0583-1723
R DuboisOwkin, Paris, France.
M AuffretOwkin, Paris, France.
L GuillouOwkin, Paris, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0007-6266-432X
I BousaidDepartment of Digital Transformation and Information Systems (DTNSI), Gustave Roussy, Villejuif, France.
M AzoulayDepartment of Digital Transformation and Information Systems (DTNSI), Gustave Roussy, Villejuif, France.
J LemonnierUnicancer R&D, Unicancer, Paris, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8821-2168
M SeftaOwkin, Paris, France.
S EverhardUnicancer R&D, Unicancer, Paris, France.
A SarrazinOwkin, Paris, France.
J-F ReboudOwkin, Paris, France.
F BrulportOwkin, Paris, France.
J DacharyOwkin, Paris, France.
B PistilliDepartment of Cancer Medicine, Gustave Roussy, Paris-Saclay University, Villejuif, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9184-7199
S DelalogeDepartment of Cancer Medicine, Gustave Roussy, Paris-Saclay University, Villejuif, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2106-9165
P CourtiolOwkin, Paris, France.
F AndréINSERM U981, Gustave Roussy, Paris-Saclay University, Villejuif, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5795-8357
V AubertOwkin, Paris, France.
M Lacroix-TrikiDepartment of Pathology, Gustave Roussy, Paris-Saclay University, Villejuif, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6641-8536

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Accurate risk stratification is critical for guiding treatment decisions in early breast cancer. We present an artificial intelligence (AI)-based tool that analyzes digitized tumor slides to predict 5-year metastasis-free survival (MFS) in patients with estrogen receptor-positive, HER2-negative (ER + /HER2 - ) early breast cancer (EBC). Our deep learning model, RlapsRisk BC, independently predicts MFS and provides significant prognostic value beyond traditional clinico-pathological variables (C-index 0.81 vs 0.76, p < 0.05). Applying a 5% MFS event probability threshold stratifies patients into low- and high-risk groups. After dichotomization, combining RlapsRisk BC with clinico-pathological factors increases cumulative sensitivity (0.69 vs 0.63) and dynamic specificity (0.80 vs 0.76) compared to clinical factors alone. Expert analysis of high-impact regions identified by the model highlights well-established morphological features, supporting its interpretability and biological relevance.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsDeep LearningNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalAdultAgedErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinasesFemaleHumansMiddle AgedNeoplasm MetastasisPrognosisReceptors, EstrogenRisk AssessmentERBB2 protein, humanErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinasesReceptors, Estrogen

Identifiers

PMID40593633
PMCPMC12216745

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.