Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40592814›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Droughts preceding tree mortality events have increased in duration and intensity, especially in dry biomes.

Antonio Gazol, Manuel Pizarro, William M Hammond, Craig D Allen, J Julio Camarero

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Antonio GazolInstituto Pirenaico de Ecología (IPE-CSIC), Zaragoza, Spain. agazol@ipe.csic.es.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5902-9543
Manuel PizarroInstituto Pirenaico de Ecología (IPE-CSIC), Zaragoza, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6981-0154
William M HammondAgronomy Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2904-810X
Craig D AllenDepartment of Geography and Environmental Studies, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8777-5989
J Julio CamareroInstituto Pirenaico de Ecología (IPE-CSIC), Zaragoza, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2436-2922

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The thresholds of drought duration and intensity required to provoke pulses of tree mortality across Earth's biomes remain unclear. Using globally-extensive updated databases of drought-associated tree mortality, we report substantial diversity in the types of drought events that cause tree death in different forest types. Tree-killing droughts are longer, more intense and have higher completeness (proportion of extreme drought within long-lasting droughts) in dry versus wet biomes. Mortality-inducing droughts are more intense and show higher completeness in angiosperm-dominated forests. We find a marked tendency towards long-lasting and more severe and complete droughts in recent years, particularly in more arid sites. Warming-amplified aridity is a main factor underpinning these variations. Differences in "sampling effort" across regions make it challenging to characterize the high variability in drought-induced tree mortality events. In this work we demonstrate the need to create, continuously update, and refine more extensive field-based tree mortality monitoring programs globally.

Indexed as

DroughtsEcosystemTreesForestsMagnoliopsida

Identifiers

PMID40592814
PMCPMC12216076

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.