Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40592743›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2025

Prognostic factors associated with failure of total elbow replacement: a protocol for analysis of National Joint Registry data in England.

Zaid Hamoodi, Adrian Sayers, Michael R Whitehouse, Lianne Kearsley-Fleet, Jamie C Sergeant, Adam C Watts

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT06760585 (Prognostic Factors Associated With Failure of Total Elbow Replacement), which is not on this map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06760585 not yet recruitingnot on this map

Prognostic Factors Associated With Failure of Total Elbow Replacement: a Protocol for Analysis of National Joint Registry Data

TypeobservationalSponsorUniversity of ManchesterRan2025 to 2025Enrolled4,073ConditionsTotal Elbow Replacement
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Zaid HamoodiCentre for Epidemiology Versus Arthritis, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, The University of Manchester, Manchester, UK zaid.hamoodi-2@postgrad.manchester.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0045-7257
Adrian SayersMuscloskeletal Research Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7452-5043
Michael R WhitehouseMuscloskeletal Research Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2436-9024
Lianne Kearsley-Fleet *Centre for Epidemiology Versus Arthritis, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, The University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Jamie C Sergeant *Centre for Epidemiology Versus Arthritis, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, The University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9000-4413
Adam C Watts *Upper Limb Unit, Wrightington Wigan and Leigh NHS Foundation Trust, Wigan, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionUnderstanding the prognostic factors associated with the failure of total elbow replacement (TER) is crucial for informing patients about risks and enabling shared decision-making regarding TER as a definitive management option. This protocol outlines the planned analysis of National Joint Registry (NJR) data to investigate prognostic factors for TER failure. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: The primary analysis will use the NJR elbow dataset, including all eligible patients who underwent TER surgery between April 2012 and December 2023. To incorporate ethnicity and comorbidities as potential prognostic factors, the NJR will be linked to the National Health Service (NHS) England Hospital Episode Statistics-Admitted Patient Care (HES-APC) data for a secondary analysis. The analysis will adhere to the REporting recommendations for tumour MARKer prognostic studies guidelines. The primary outcome under investigation is TER failure, defined as requiring revision surgery. Initially, the overall prognosis of TER will be examined using unadjusted net implant failure via the Kaplan-Meier method. The list of potential prognostic factors to be investigated in this study has been informed by a systematic review on this topic, input from patient and public involvement and engagement (PPIE) groups and a survey shared with healthcare professionals providing TER services. The relationship between each potential prognostic factor and failure will be assessed using univariable regression methods. Based on the findings from our systematic review, the univariable association will also be adjusted for age, sex and indication for TER surgery using multivariable regression methods. The extent of missing data will be reported, and the reasons for missing data will be explored. A very high degree of data completeness is expected, and a complete case analysis will be performed as the primary analysis. Multiple imputations will be considered as a sensitivity analysis. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The NJR research committee approved this analysis, and the NHS Health Research Authority tool guidance dictates that the secondary use of such data for research does not require approval from a research ethics committee. The results from this analysis will be published in a peer-reviewed journal and presented at scientific conferences. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT06760585.

Indexed as

Arthroplasty, Replacement, ElbowProsthesis FailureEnglandFemaleHumansMaleObservational Studies as TopicPrognosisRegistriesReoperationResearch DesignRisk FactorsOrthopaedic & trauma surgeryPrognosisREGISTRIES

Identifiers

PMID40592743
PMCPMC12215097

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.