Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40592586›Full record

ArticleThe British journal of ophthalmology2025

Reference values of spherical equivalent for predicting the onset and progression of myopia among children and adolescents in China.

Ran Qin, Yang Liu, Hongtian Li, Ying Xiong, Fang Gu, Wei Shi, Ting Li, Huiyu Xu, Huijuan Luo, Xin Guo and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The British journal of ophthalmology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Ran QinInstitute of Reproductive and Child Health/National Health Commission Key Laboratory of Reproductive Health, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Yang LiuInstitute of Reproductive and Child Health/National Health Commission Key Laboratory of Reproductive Health, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0003-8377-1897
Hongtian LiInstitute of Reproductive and Child Health/National Health Commission Key Laboratory of Reproductive Health, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Ying XiongChongqing Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Chongqing, China.
Fang GuZhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Wei ShiShaanxi Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
Ting LiSchool Health Department, Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing, China.
Huiyu XuBeijing Tongzhou District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Huijuan LuoSchool Health Department, Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing, China.
Xin GuoSchool Health Department, Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing, China liujm@pku.edu.cn guoxin@chinacdc.cn.
Jianmeng LiuInstitute of Reproductive and Child Health/National Health Commission Key Laboratory of Reproductive Health, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China liujm@pku.edu.cn guoxin@chinacdc.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3220-6084

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND/

aimsTo establish sex-specific and grade-specific reference values of cycloplegic spherical equivalent (SE) for predicting myopia onset and progression in Chinese children and adolescents.

methodsBetween 2020 and 2024, vision screening was conducted among 67 260 Chinese students spanning kindergarten to high school. Myopia was defined as a cycloplegic SE of ≤-0.50 diopters (D) and high myopia as ≤-6.00D. The lambda-mu-sigma method was used to estimate centiles of cycloplegic SE for -0.50D and -6.00D at each grade. Based on this, reference values for predicting future myopia and its progression to high myopia were determined for all grades.

resultsAmong boys in grade 12 (the third year of high school), the estimated prevalence of myopia and high myopia was 82.4% and 11.6%, respectively. For boys in grades 0-11, the cycloplegic SE values at the 82.4th and 11.6th percentiles served as reference values to predict myopia and high myopia, respectively, in grade 12. For example, among senior kindergarten boys (grade 0), those with cycloplegic SE >1.54D (82.4th percentile) were predicted to remain non-myopic before grade 12, whereas those with SE >0.19D (11.6th percentile) were not expected to develop high myopia before grade 12.

conclusionsReference values for predicting myopia and high myopia among Chinese students were established, but these values may not be applicable to populations beyond China. Nevertheless, the proposed methods could be applied to settings where student myopia prevalence patterns remain relatively stable.

Indexed as

MyopiaRefraction, OcularVision ScreeningAdolescentChildChild, PreschoolChinaDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansMalePrevalenceReference ValuesChild health (paediatrics)Public health

Identifiers

PMID40592586
PMCPMC12573326

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.