Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40589769›Full record

ArticleJGH open : an open access journal of gastroenterology and hepatology2025

Machine-Learning Prediction of Bleeding After Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection for Early Gastric Cancer: A Multicenter Study.

Hiroki Maruyama, Kazuya Takahashi, Kosuke Kojima, Nao Nakajima, Hiroki Sato, Ken-Ichi Mizuno, Soichi Sugitani, Shuji Terai

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JGH open : an open access journal of gastroenterology and hepatology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Hiroki MaruyamaDivision of Gastroenterology & Hepatology Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata University Niigata Japan.
Kazuya TakahashiDivision of Gastroenterology & Hepatology Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata University Niigata Japan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3097-9841
Kosuke KojimaDivision of Gastroenterology & Hepatology Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata University Niigata Japan.
Nao NakajimaDivision of Gastroenterology & Hepatology Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata University Niigata Japan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0111-6537
Hiroki SatoDivision of Gastroenterology & Hepatology Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata University Niigata Japan.
Ken-Ichi MizunoDivision of Gastroenterology & Hepatology Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata University Niigata Japan.
Soichi SugitaniDivision of Gastroenterology Koseiren Murakami General Hospital Niigata Japan.
Shuji TeraiDivision of Gastroenterology & Hepatology Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata University Niigata Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) is a minimally invasive treatment for early gastric cancer (GC); however, post-ESD bleeding remains a serious and unpredictable complication. This study aimed to develop machine-learning (ML) models to predict post-ESD bleeding and identify associated risk factors, ensuring accurate and interpretable predictions. Methods: A retrospective, multicenter clinical database was constructed for patients who underwent ESD for early GC. An ML model was developed using patient characteristics and perioperative findings to predict bleeding within 28 days post-ESD. Its performance was compared with that of a logistic regression-based non-ML model. Feature importance analysis was performed to aid interpretation. Results: Among 1084 patients (median age: 75 years), post-ESD bleeding occurred in 63 (5.8%). The area under the curve of the ML model was better than that of the non-ML model (0.80 vs. 0.71, Conclusions: The ML model effectively rules out post-ESD bleeding and identifies clinically meaningful risk factors, supporting its use in personalized prophylactic strategies.

Indexed as

artificial intelligencebleedingearly gastric cancerendoscopic submucosal dissectionfeature importancemachine learningShapley aAdditive explanations (SHAP)

Identifiers

PMID40589769
PMCPMC12206847

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.