Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40589051›Full record

ArticleThe oncologist2025

Prognostic index for predicting outcomes of trastuzumab deruxtecan in HER2 expressing metastatic breast cancer: a real-world multicenter study.

Cong Xue, Qianyi Liao, Riqing Huang, Yunjie Huang, Rishang Chen, Zhenhua Yang, Xiujiao Shen, Haifeng Li, Qixiang Rong, Ditian Shu and 3 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in The oncologist, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Cong XueDepartment of Medical Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, China.
Qianyi LiaoDepartment of Medical Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, China.ORCID 0009-0002-8281-8043
Riqing HuangDepartment of Medical Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, China.
Yunjie HuangDepartment of Medical Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, China.
Rishang ChenMedical Oncology Department III, Central Hospital of Guangdong Nongken, Zhanjiang 524002, China.
Zhenhua YangDepartment of Medical Oncology, Jiangmen Wuyi Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Jiangmen 529000, China.
Xiujiao ShenDepartment of Pathology, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, China.
Haifeng LiDepartment of Medical Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, China.
Qixiang RongDepartment of Medical Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, China.
Ditian ShuDepartment of Medical Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, China.
Fei PanDepartment of Breast Medical Oncology, Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences, Jinan, China.
Yanxia ShiDepartment of Medical Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, China.ORCID 0000-0002-5414-8049
Meiting ChenDepartment of Medical Oncology, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, China.ORCID 0000-0002-7195-1300

Funding

Cancer Innovative Research Program of Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center CIRP-SYSUCC-023National Key Research and Development Program of China 2021YFE0206300Natural Science Foundation of China 82403969Natural Science Foundation of China 82473400Sun Yat-sen University Clinical Research 5010 Program 2024002
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTrastuzumab deruxtecan (T-DXd) has shown efficacy in human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive and HER2-low metastatic breast cancer (MBC), but real-world prognostic data in heavily pre-treated patients are limited. This study evaluates T-DXd's real-world efficacy and identifies predictive factors.

methodsOur study included 317 patients (HER2-positive: n = 173; HER2-low: n = 144) treated with T-DXd between January 3, 2020, and September 9, 2024. Outcomes included real-world progression-free survival (rwPFS), overall survival (rwOS), objective response rate (ORR), and safety. A prognostic index was developed using clinical parameters.

resultsIn the HER2-positive cohort, ORR was 44.5%, with a median rwPFS of 10.5 months and rwOS of 29.9 months. Early-line T-DXd use (first or second line) improved rwPFS and rwOS compared with later lines (P < .0001), while prior tubulin-inhibitor antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs) were associated with inferior outcomes. In the HER2-low cohort, ORR was 24.3%, with a median rwPFS of 5.6 months, and rwOS of 18.5 months. Prior exposure to topoisomerase-inhibitor-payload ADCs significantly reduced rwPFS (1.97 vs. 5.97 months, P < .0001) and rwOS (5.77 vs. 18.9 months, P < .0001). Primary resistance rates were higher in HER2-low disease (24.3% vs. 12.7%, P = .011). Prognostic index incorporating treatment lines, HER2 expression, and prior ADC exposure effectively stratified patients into risk groups with distinct survival outcomes.

conclusionsT-DXd shows clinical benefit in HER2-expressing MBC, with efficacy influenced by treatment line, HER2 expression, and prior ADC payload type. The prognostic index could aid in personalizing therapy, optimizing patient selection for T-DXd in real-world practice.

Indexed as

Antineoplastic Agents, ImmunologicalBreast NeoplasmsCamptothecinErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinasesImmunoconjugatesTrastuzumabAdultAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansMiddle AgedNeoplasm MetastasisPrognosisAntineoplastic Agents, ImmunologicalCamptothecinERBB2 protein, humanErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinasesImmunoconjugatesTrastuzumabtrastuzumab deruxtecanHER2-lowHER2-positivemetastatic breast cancerprognostic indexreal-world studytrastuzumab deruxtecan

Identifiers

PMID40589051
PMCPMC12345626

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.