Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40581972›Full record

ArticleAIDS (London, England)2025

Left behind? A longitudinal analysis of need for preexposure prophylaxis services among middle-aged and older adults in South Africa.

Maja E Marcus, Elizabeth Zhang, Jennifer Hove, Hannah Jordan, Till Bärnighausen, Stephen Tollman, Kathleen Kahn, Julia K Rohr, Brendan Maughan-Brown, Jennifer Manne-Goehler

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in AIDS (London, England), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

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No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Maja E MarcusBrigham and Women's Hospital.
Elizabeth ZhangBrigham and Women's Hospital.
Jennifer HoveSAMRC/Wits University Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Hannah JordanBrigham and Women's Hospital.
Till BärnighausenHeidelberg Institute of Global Health (HIGH), Medical Faculty and University Hospital, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany.
Stephen TollmanSAMRC/Wits University Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Kathleen KahnSAMRC/Wits University Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Julia K RohrHeidelberg Institute of Global Health (HIGH), Medical Faculty and University Hospital, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany.
Brendan Maughan-BrownSouthern Africa Labour and Development Research Unit, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Jennifer Manne-GoehlerBrigham and Women's Hospital.

Funding

SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC PREDICTORS OF PHYSICAL AND COGNITIVE FUNCTIONP01AG041710 · NIA · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI Julia Katherine Rohr · 2013 to 2026
$37.3M
NIA NIH HHS P01 AG041710Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionDespite 1.3 million cumulative preexposure prophylaxis (PrEP) initiations in South Africa, 150 000+ people newly acquire HIV every year. A significant proportion of these are middle-aged adults, a population not previously prioritized for PrEP. Evidence on how many middle-aged and older adults in South Africa may benefit from PrEP services is needed.

methodsWe estimate the need for PrEP counseling in a sample of 40+ year-old, rural South Africans in 2018 and 2022, using "Health and Aging in Africa: A Longitudinal Study in South Africa (HAALSI)" data. We first identify potential PrEP eligibility based on a negative HIV status and a body weight of 35+ kg. Within this sample, we define the population that should be counselled on PrEP as per South African Guidelines for the Provision of PrEP based on a recent history of having had sex without a condom. We estimate cross-sectional and longitudinal need for PrEP counseling at the pooled level and disaggregated by sex and age.

resultsOf the 1654 individuals considered potentially eligible for PrEP in 2022, 39.6% overall, 55.7% of men, 26.7% of women, and 63.3% of 40-49 year-olds should be counseled on PrEP. Longitudinally, 29.9 and 22.9% should be counseled on PrEP in both waves or only one wave respectively. Further, we found significantly higher odds of need for PrEP counseling in male, younger, and married individuals.

conclusionWe find a high need for PrEP counseling among middle-aged and older South Africans, calling for greater attention to HIV prevention, including targeted PrEP for these age groups.

Indexed as

Anti-HIV AgentsDisease Transmission, InfectiousHIV InfectionsPre-Exposure ProphylaxisAdultAgedCounselingCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedRural PopulationSouth AfricaAnti-HIV AgentsHAALSI/HAALSAHIV preventionmiddle-aged and older adultspreexposure prophylaxisSouth Africa

Identifiers

PMID40581972
PMCPMC12302362

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.