Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40581069›Full record

ArticleAnnals of botany2025

Climate change may alter seed and seedling traits and shift germination and mortality patterns in alpine environments.

Jerónimo Vázquez-Ramírez, Susanna E Venn

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of botany, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Interannual Variation in Seed Traits ofPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Jerónimo Vázquez-RamírezSchool of Life and Environmental Sciences, Deakin University, 221 Burwood Hwy, Melbourne, Victoria 3125, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-6421-5594
Susanna E VennSchool of Life and Environmental Sciences, Deakin University, 221 Burwood Hwy, Melbourne, Victoria 3125, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-7433-0120

Funding

Centre for Integrative EcologyDeakin University postgraduate scholarshipHolsworth Wildlife Research Endowment
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsThe early life-history stages of alpine plants are strongly influenced by climatic factors. Predicted changes in alpine climate could significantly impact the ability of plants to regenerate from seed and thus on the long-term survival of these species. However, our knowledge on this topic has focused predominantly on the effects of warming on germination. Other early life-history stages or other changing environmental factors have been overlooked. Here, we determine the effects of a future warmer and drier climate and post-fire conditions on (1) seed development, (2) germination and (3) seedling establishment of 13 alpine species.

methodsFor 2 years, we conducted a factorial field-based manipulative experiment in the Australian Alps where we created a warmer and drier microclimate using modified open-top chambers and post-fire conditions by controlled burning of selected plots. We (1) collected seeds that had developed under experimental conditions and determined their mass, size, germinability and the characteristics of emerging cotyledons; (2) buried seeds in experimental plots and monitored germination throughout the snow-free season; and (3) grew and planted seedlings and determined their survival over a year. KEY

resultsOverall, we found negative responses to the experimental treatments. Warmer and drier conditions during (1) seed development reduced seed mass, seed size and cotyledon area. (2) Seed germination decreased in response to warmer and drier and post-fire conditions. Importantly, the timing of germination shifted under warmer and drier conditions. (3) Seedling establishment was negatively affected by post-fire conditions and, to a lesser extent, by warmer and drier conditions. The timing of seedling mortality shifted relative to the control conditions.

conclusionsPredicted future climate will have a negative impact on the ability of plants to regenerate from seed. Furthermore, species-specific responses are likely to contribute to changes in the composition and diversity of alpine communities.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeGerminationSeedlingsSeedsAustraliaDecrease in precipitationfiremanipulative experimentseedlingsseedswarming

Identifiers

PMID40581069
PMCPMC12455718

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.