Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40577672›Full record

ArticleNeurology2025

Statin Initiation and Dementia Incidence in a Large Health Care System From 1997 to 2020: A Target Trial Emulation Study.

Scott C Zimmerman, Minhyuk Choi, Chen Jiang, Erin L Ferguson, Thomas J Hoffmann, Kaitlin Swinnerton, Akinyemi Oni-Orisan, Paola Gilsanz, Travis J Meyers, Vidhu Choudhary and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Neurology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Scott C ZimmermanDepartment of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, MA.ORCID 0000-0002-4431-6520
Minhyuk ChoiDepartment of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, MA.ORCID 0009-0000-6658-5054
Chen JiangKaiser Permanente Division of Research, Pleasanton, CA.ORCID 0000-0002-0336-4518
Erin L FergusonDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California San Francisco.ORCID 0000-0003-3136-0001
Thomas J HoffmannDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California San Francisco.ORCID 0000-0001-6893-4449
Kaitlin SwinnertonMassachusetts Veterans Epidemiology Research and Information Center, VA Boston Healthcare System.ORCID 0000-0002-7429-9960
Akinyemi Oni-OrisanInstitute for Human Genetics, University of California San Francisco.ORCID 0000-0002-5897-5543
Paola GilsanzDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California San Francisco.ORCID 0000-0002-7635-381X
Travis J MeyersKaiser Permanente Division of Research, Pleasanton, CA.ORCID 0000-0001-9186-9745
Vidhu ChoudharyKaiser Permanente Division of Research, Pleasanton, CA.ORCID 0009-0009-4720-9518
Rachel A WhitmerKaiser Permanente Division of Research, Pleasanton, CA.ORCID 0009-0006-9511-6138
Neil RischDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California San Francisco.ORCID 0000-0002-4126-2061
Ronald M KraussDepartments of Pediatrics and Medicine, University of California San Francisco.ORCID 0000-0002-4172-6815
Catherine A SchaeferKaiser Permanente Division of Research, Pleasanton, CA.ORCID 0000-0003-2644-055X
M Maria GlymourDepartment of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, MA.ORCID 0000-0001-9644-3081

Funding

A Resource for Genetic Epidemiology Research in Adult Health and AgingRC2AG036607 · NIA · KAISER FOUNDATION RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI RISCH, NEIL J., SCHAEFER, CATHERINE ANN · 2009 to 2010
$24.8M
Statin Treatment and Incident Alzheimer's Disease and Related Dementias in a Large, Multi-ethnic Health PlanRF1AG069259 · NIA · KAISER FOUNDATION RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI GLYMOUR, MEDELLENA MARIA, KRAUSS, RONALD M · 2020 to 2020
$3.0M
NIA NIH HHS RC2 AG036607NIA NIH HHS RF1 AG069259
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

objectivesPrevious research of associations between statins and Alzheimer disease and Alzheimer disease-related dementias (AD/ADRDs) has been limited by short follow-up, small samples, and confounding. We aimed to estimate the association between the 1st statin prescription and incident AD/ADRD among members of a large population-based cohort of older adults.

methodsWe used a cohort study design emulating a target trial using data from Kaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC), an integrated health care delivery system. Participants were born before 1951 and KPNC members for 4+ years during 1997-2010. Embedded subsamples included sociodemographic and genetic data. Statin initiators were matched at first prescription ("baseline") with up to 5 "noninitiators" based on age and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C). Participants with extreme propensity scores were excluded. The outcome was time to incident AD/ADRD diagnosis, censoring, or the administrative end of study (December 31, 2020). Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratios for statin initiation on AD/ADRD incidence. Follow-up time was divided at the first year of follow-up to account for increased AD/ADRD detection in the first year due to increased interaction with the health care system after a statin prescription.

resultsAmong eligible participants (n = 705,061), 264,294 individuals (37.5% of eligible participants) initiated any statin during 2001-2010 ("initiators"), of whom 249,613 (94.4%) were matched with 255,937 unique noninitiators to create the analytic sample (322,358 unique participants; mean age at baseline = 67.4 years; 55.1% female). The average follow-up was 11.8 years. In the first year after initiating statins, AD/ADRD diagnoses were elevated by 46% (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.46, 95% CI 1.42-1.53) compared with noninitiators. After 1 year, statin initiators experienced no difference in AD/ADRD incidence (full sample: HR = 1.00, 95% CI 0.99-1.01; subsample with survey covariates: HR = 1.01, 95% CI 0.98-1.06; subsample with survey and genetic covariates: HR = 0.97, 95% CI 0.91-1.07). Adjustment for sociodemographic covariates and DISCUSSION: In this large emulated target trial, statin initiation was inconsistent with more than a 3% increase or decrease in the hazard of AD/ADRD after the first year of follow-up. This intent-to-treat analysis does not directly quantify effects of long-term exposure to statins. Associations in the first year likely reflect increased medical observation immediately after statin initiation. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This emulated trial provides Class II evidence that statin initiation is not associated with AD/ADRD or AD incidence after the first year of follow-up.

Indexed as

Alzheimer DiseaseDementiaHydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase InhibitorsAgedAged, 80 and overCaliforniaCohort StudiesFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleProportional Hazards ModelsHydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors

Identifiers

PMID40577672
PMCPMC12205742

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.