Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40576953›Full record

Trial reportJournal of the American Geriatrics Society2025

Cost-Effectiveness of Family Conferences to Reduce Polypharmacy in Frail Older Adults.

Joseph Montalbo, Charalabos-Markos Dintsios, Jens Abraham, Eva Drewelow, Manuela Ritzke, Achim Mortsiefer, Birgitt Wiese, Petra Thürmann, Stefan Wilm, Andrea Icks and 1 more

Abstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Trial
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Joseph MontalboMedical Faculty, Institute for Health Services Research and Health Economics, Centre for Health and Society, Heinrich-Heine-University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf, Germany.
Charalabos-Markos DintsiosMedical Faculty, Institute for Health Services Research and Health Economics, Centre for Health and Society, Heinrich-Heine-University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf, Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3469-092X
Jens AbrahamMedical Faculty, Institute for Health and Nursing Science, Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, Halle, Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6985-1530
Eva DrewelowInstitute of General Practice, University Medical Center Rostock, Rostock, Germany.
Manuela RitzkeInstitute of General Practice, University Medical Center Rostock, Rostock, Germany.
Achim MortsieferFaculty of Health, Department of Medicine, Institute of General Practice and Primary Care, Witten/Herdecke University, Witten, Germany.
Birgitt WieseWG Medical Statistics and IT-Infrastructure, Institute of General Practice, Hannover Medical School, Hannover, Germany.
Petra ThürmannDepartment of Clinical Pharmacology, School of Medicine, Faculty of Health, Witten/Herdecke University, Wuppertal, Germany.
Stefan WilmMedical Faculty, Institute of General Practice, Heinrich-Heine-University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf, Germany.
Andrea IcksMedical Faculty, Institute for Health Services Research and Health Economics, Centre for Health and Society, Heinrich-Heine-University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf, Germany.
COFRAIL study group

Funding

Innovationsfonds of the German Federal Joint Committee 01VSF17053
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCost-effectiveness of family conferences on deprescribing with joint prioritization of treatment goals in primary care has not been investigated so far. We assessed cost-effectiveness in the cluster-randomized controlled COFRAIL trial conducted with general practitioners and 521 older frail patients with polypharmacy cared for at home in Germany.

methodsHospital admissions averted and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained were associated with costs from the German Social Insurance perspective. We applied adjusted GLM regressions with specified distributions to estimate group differences on imputed data, plotted bootstrap cost-outcome pairs by simulated resampling of the study population to illustrate uncertainty and calculate the probability of cost-effectiveness given a willingness-to-pay threshold, and assessed robustness in sensitivity analyses.

resultsIntervention-related costs were €391 (US$459) per capita. On 100 people, the COFRAIL intervention had about 7 more hospital admissions (95% CI: -12; 26), 2 QALYs gained (95% CI: -1; 6), and additional costs of €117,681 (95% CI: -28,838; 264,201)/US$138,027 (95% CI: -33,824; 309,880) or €124,866 (95% CI: -12,649; 262,380)/US$146,455 (95% CI: -14,836; 307,745) without or with hospital costs, respectively, compared to usual care. By bootstrapping, we observed the COFRAIL intervention to have higher costs and more hospital admissions with a relative frequency of 28%-78%, or in terms of QALYs 57%-91%. The COFRAIL intervention had additional costs of €50,966 (US$59.778) per QALY gained with a 46% probability of being cost-effective at a willingness to pay of €45,000/QALY (≈US$50,000/QALY).

conclusionThe COFRAIL intervention affected QALYs rather than hospital admissions after 12 months. The intervention tended to be associated with higher costs and QALYs but was less likely to be cost-effective than usual care at commonly used willingness-to-pay thresholds. Long-term cost-effectiveness should be assessed.

Indexed as

Cost-Benefit AnalysisDeprescriptionsFrail ElderlyPolypharmacyAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleGermanyHospitalizationHumansMalePrimary Health CareQuality-Adjusted Life YearsCOFRAILcost‐utilitydeprescribinghealth economic evaluationshared decision‐making

Identifiers

PMID40576953
PMCPMC12554836

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.