Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40576035›Full record

Observational studyJournal of the American Heart Association2025

Predicting Deterioration in Patients With Normotensive Acute Pulmonary Embolism Using Clinical-Imaging Features: A Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study.

Yizhuo Gao, Shibo Wei, Yuchen Liu, Zhenglun Yu, Shanshan Zhan, Binze Yang, Chuanxin Qi, Shougang Qi, Minggang Wang, Dong Jia

Registry-linked trialAbstract readMulticenter StudyObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Journal of the American Heart Association, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT05098769 (A Predictive Tool for Predicting Adverse Outcomes in Acute Pulmonary Embolism Patients Using Parameters Obtained by Computed Tomographic Pulmonary Angiography.), which is not on this map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT05098769 recruitingnot on this map

A Predictive Tool for Predicting Adverse Outcomes in Acute Pulmonary Embolism Patients Using Parameters Obtained by Computed Tomographic Pulmonary Angiography.

Typeobservational_patient_registrySponsorShengjing HospitalRan2021 to 2026Enrolled300ConditionsPulmonary Embolism and Thrombosis, Deterioration, Clinical
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Yizhuo GaoDepartment of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University Shenyang China.ORCID 0000-0002-4220-1260
Shibo WeiDepartment of General Surgery The Fourth Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University Shenyang China.
Yuchen LiuDepartment of Hernia and Abdominal Wall Surgery, Beijing Chaoyang Hospital Capital Medical University Beijing China.
Zhenglun YuDepartment of Thoracic Surgery The First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University Shenyang China.
Shanshan ZhanDepartment of Gerontology and Geriatrics The First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University Shenyang China.
Binze YangDepartment of General Surgery The Fourth Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University Shenyang China.
Chuanxin QiDepartment of Emergency Medicine The Third People's Hospital of Datong Datong China.
Shougang QiDepartment of Emergency Medicine The Third People's Hospital of Datong Datong China.
Minggang WangDepartment of Hernia and Abdominal Wall Surgery, Beijing Chaoyang Hospital Capital Medical University Beijing China.
Dong JiaDepartment of Emergency Medicine Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University Shenyang China.ORCID 0000-0002-2361-0739

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPrioritization of management strategies in patients with normotensive acute pulmonary embolism is based on the identification of individuals at risk for early deterioration. This study aims to develop and validate a novel score for deterioration prediction using clinical-imaging features.

methodsThis is multicenter, prospective observational cohort study (AOAPECT [Adverse Outcomes in Acute Pulmonary Embolism patients using Computed Tomography pulmonary angiography] cohort, NCT05098769). Registered-enrolled patients with normotensive acute pulmonary embolism were collected consecutively from 5 centers across China. Derivation set was established from 2 centers, while local and nonlocal external validation sets were derived from the remaining 3 centers. The end point was pulmonary embolism-related deterioration within 30 days after admission. Deterioration-related candidate predictors consisted of clinical, laboratory and computed tomography pulmonary angiography parameters were screened and then split into dichotomous values. The predictive score was conducted by a multivariable logistics regression and validated. Score performances were quantified using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.

resultsOf 3310 enrolled patients including 1 derivation (n=2061) and 2 validation sets (n=969 and 280), 272 patients (8.2%) experienced deterioration. In the derivation set, an increased risk of deterioration was observed with right to left ventricle diameter ratio ≥1.2, appearance of pulmonary vein sign on computed tomography pulmonary angiography, and heart rate ≥110 beats/min. When at least 2 out of 3 items were positive, patients were assigned to the high-risk deterioration group. This PE-RPH score revealed good discrimination to deterioration in derivation and validation sets (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.82, 0.82, and 0.80).

conclusionsThis PE-RPH score incorporating 2 computed tomography pulmonary angiography parameters and heart rate may help predict the deterioration risk in patients with normotensive acute pulmonary embolism. REGISTRATION: https://clinicaltrials.gov; identifier: NCT05098769.

Indexed as

Clinical DeteriorationComputed Tomography AngiographyPulmonary ArteryPulmonary EmbolismAcute DiseaseAgedChinaFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisProspective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk Factorsclinical deteriorationheart rateheart ventriclespulmonary embolismpulmonary vein

Identifiers

PMID40576035
PMCPMC12450001

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.