Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40571834›Full record

ArticlePsychonomic bulletin & review2025

Prediction error is out of context: The dominance of contextual stability in structuring episodic memories.

Berna Güler, Fatih Serin, Eren Günseli

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Psychonomic bulletin & review, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Repeated Viewing of a Film Clip Changes Event Timescales in the Brain.The Journal of neuroscience : the official journal of the Society for Neuroscience · 2026
    Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Berna GülerDepartment of Psychology, Sabancı University, Istanbul, Turkey. berna.guler@sabanciuniv.edu.
Fatih SerinDepartment of Psychology, Sabancı University, Istanbul, Turkey.
Eren GünseliDepartment of Psychology, Sabancı University, Istanbul, Turkey.

Funding

Türkiye Bilimsel ve Teknolojik Araştırma Kurumu 122K919
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Our everyday experiences unfold continuously, yet we segment them into distinct memory units-a phenomenon known as event segmentation. Although extensively studied, the underlying mechanisms of event segmentation remain controversial. This study addresses this by comparing the two contrasting theories: prediction error and contextual stability. Across four experiments, we manipulated these factors separately to examine their distinct impacts on event segmentation, measured by temporal order and distance tasks. Experiments 1-3 demonstrate that contextual stability leads to more pronounced event segmentation than prediction errors in unstable contexts, underscoring its critical role. Experiment 4 further supported this by providing strong evidence for equally robust event segmentation for predicted and unpredicted transitions across stable contexts. We conclude that contextual stability plays a pivotal role in driving event segmentation, outweighing the effect of prediction errors. This study sheds new light on how our minds encode continuous experiences into coherent and meaningful memory units.

Indexed as

Memory, EpisodicMental RecallAdultFemaleHumansMaleYoung AdultContextual stabilityEpisodic memoryEvent segmentationEvent segmentation theoryPrediction error

Identifiers

PMID40571834
PMCPMC12627157

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.