Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40569388›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2025

Comparative performance of viral landscape phylogeography approaches.

Simon Dellicour, Fabiana Gámbaro, Maude Jacquot, Sebastian Lequime, Guy Baele, Marius Gilbert, Oliver G Pybus, Marc A Suchard, Philippe Lemey

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Simon DellicourSpatial Epidemiology Lab, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Brussels 1050, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0001-9558-1052
Fabiana GámbaroSpatial Epidemiology Lab, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Brussels 1050, Belgium.
Maude JacquotIfremer, Ressources Biologiques et Environnement, Unité Adaptations Santé des Invertébrés Marins, La Tremblade 17390, France.
Sebastian LequimeCluster of Microbial Ecology, Groningen Institute for Evolutionary Life Sciences, University of Groningen, Groningen 9747 AG, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-3140-0651
Guy BaeleDepartment of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Leuven 3000, Belgium.
Marius GilbertSpatial Epidemiology Lab, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Brussels 1050, Belgium.
Oliver G PybusDepartment of Biology, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3RB, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-8797-2667
Marc A SuchardDepartment of Human Genetics, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095.ORCID 0000-0001-9818-479X
Philippe LemeyDepartment of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Leuven 3000, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0003-2826-5353

Funding

Technology CoreU19AI135995 · NIAID · SCRIPPS RESEARCH INSTITUTE, THE · PI Robert F Garry · 2018 to 2026
$32.0M
Fast and flexible Bayesian phylogenetics via modern machine learningR01AI162611 · NIAID · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI MATSEN, FREDERICK ALBERT · 2021 to 2025
$3.8M
Statistical Innovation to Integrate Sequences and Phenotypes for Scalable Phylodynamic InferenceR01AI153044 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI Marc A. Suchard · 2021 to 2026
$2.4M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI153044NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI162611NIAID NIH HHS U19 AI135995Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The rapid evolution of RNA viruses implies that their evolutionary and ecological processes occur on the same time scale. Genome sequences of these pathogens therefore can contain information about the processes that govern their transmission and dispersal. Landscape phylogeographic approaches use phylogeographic reconstructions to investigate the impact of environmental factors and variables on the spatial spread of viruses. Here, we extend and improve existing approaches and develop three novel landscape phylogeographic methods that can test the impact of continuous environmental factors on the diffusion velocity of viral lineages. In order to evaluate the different methods, we also implemented two simulation frameworks to test and compare their statistical performance. The results enable us to formulate clear guidelines for the use of three complementary landscape phylogeographic approaches that have sufficient statistical power and low rates of false positives. Our open-source methods are available to the cientific community and can be used to investigate the drivers of viral spread, with potential benefits for understanding virus epidemiology and designing tailored intervention strategies.

Indexed as

RNA VirusesComputer SimulationGenome, ViralPhylogenyPhylogeographycontinuous phylogeographylandscape phylogeographymolecular epidemiologyviruses

Identifiers

PMID40569388
PMCPMC12232613

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.