ArticleFrontiers in public health2025
Characteristics and trends of unintentional injuries among children and adolescents in Kunshan, China: a hospital-based retrospective study, 2018-2023.
Article in Frontiers in public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
0 citing papers in PubMed.
No citing paper in PubMed yet.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
10 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Objective: This study aimed to characterize the epidemiological trends and mechanisms of pediatric unintentional injuries in Kunshan, China (2018-2023) and to develop time series models to predict future trends. Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted on 77,379 pediatric unintentional injury cases, stratified by age, gender, and injury categories. Subgroup analyses targeted children under 5 years. To adjust for pandemic-related disruptions, separate comparisons between 2018 and 2023 were performed. Time series analysis employed an ARIMA model, with model selection based on information criteria and residual diagnostics, and a non-COVID-19 dataset (2018, 2019, and 2023) for forecasting future trends. Results: Males constituted 62.76% of cases, with a mean age of 5.37 ± 3.55 years. The primary age groups were 3-6 years and 6-12 years, which accounted for 60% of the total population. Falls (21.36%) and transport injuries (4.00%) predominated, with limbs being the most injured body part (59.08%). Contusions/abrasions (41.54%) and sprains/strains (31.21%) were common. Subgroup analysis was performed in children under 5 years old, with 22,110 being males (57.5%) and 16,291 being females (42.5%). Among this group, falls and burns were identified as the most frequent incidents. Unintentional injury cases decreased significantly during COVID-19 (2020-2022). The refined ARIMA(1,1,2) (0,1,1)[12] model, excluding pandemic effects, achieved a mean absolute percentage error of 6.46% while revealing seasonal patterns and predicting a slight downward trend for 2024-2026. Conclusion: Pediatric unintentional injuries in Kunshan exhibited gender and age-specific patterns, with COVID-19 altering injury profiles. The ARIMA model can capture the seasonal patterns of unintentional injuries to a certain extent, facilitating public health planning and intervention strategies.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.