Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40567824›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in cardiovascular medicine2025

Epidemic of lower extremity peripheral arterial disease in China: current trends and future prediction.

Jianxing Yu, Yuhan Zhang, Qingqing Zhang, Jinyi Wang, Aiqin Gu, Jing Wei, Chuanmeng Zhang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Jianxing YuSchool of Medicine, Linyi University, Linyi, Shandong, China.
Yuhan ZhangClinical Medicine Eight Year Program, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Qingqing ZhangPan-Vascular Management Center, The Affiliated Taizhou People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Taizhou, Jiangsu, China.
Jinyi WangClinical Research Center, Taizhou School of Clinical Medicine, The Affiliated Taizhou People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing Medical University, Taizhou, Jiangsu, China.
Aiqin GuClinical Research Center, Taizhou School of Clinical Medicine, The Affiliated Taizhou People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing Medical University, Taizhou, Jiangsu, China.
Jing WeiDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, The Affiliated Taizhou People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Taizhou, Jiangsu, China.
Chuanmeng ZhangClinical Research Center, Taizhou School of Clinical Medicine, The Affiliated Taizhou People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing Medical University, Taizhou, Jiangsu, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Lower extremity peripheral arterial disease (PAD) reflects the overall condition of the cardiovascular system. Due to its often asymptomatic nature, PAD is frequently overlooked. We aimed to estimate the disease burden of PAD in China over the past 30 years and to project future trends over the next 25 years. Methods: The incidence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of PAD was extracted from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database and subsequently described. Joinpoint regression was used to assess trends from 1990 to 2021, and an age-period-cohort model was constructed to examine the influence of period and cohort effects on incidence and DALYs of PAD. A Bayesian APC model was also applied to forecast trends through 2046. Results: In 2021, the annual number of new PAD cases in China was 2.45 (95% UI: 2.11-2.85) million, of which 1.74 (1.50-2.03) million were female and 0.71 (0.61-0.83) million were male. The number of new cases in 2021 was obviously higher than that in 1990 among females and males. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) exhibited an increasing trend among males, while a decreasing trend was observed among females. Incidence number rose across all age groups, but rates declined in females. Period effects were identified as high-risk factors for PAD incidence and in both sexes, whereas the cohort effects appeared protective. The number of new cases is projected to rise from 2.45 million in 2021 to 4.04 million by 2046, while the ASIR remains stable. Trends in DALYs showed similar patterns. Conclusion: The burden of PAD in China has increased markedly from 1990 to 2021 and is expected to continue rising over the next 25 years. Efforts to reduce modifiable risk factors-such as smoking and metabolic diseases-and to enhance PAD prevention and management, including the establishment of Pan-Vascular Management Center, are urgently needed.

Indexed as

APC analysisBAPC analysisdisease burdenlower extremity peripheral arterial diseaseprediction

Identifiers

PMID40567824
PMCPMC12187828

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.