ArticleBritish journal of anaesthesia2025
Description and validation of the Postoperative Discharge Recovery State outcome: a patient-partnered population-based cohort study.
Article in British journal of anaesthesia, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
backgroundOlder adults prioritise independent return home after surgery. Most discharge outcomes are binary composites that do not incorporate temporal information. We defined and validated a novel ordinal outcome, the Postoperative Discharge Recovery State, and prioritised its temporal measurement, to overcome these limitations.
methodsThis retrospective cohort study was conducted with patient partnership. Adults ≥65 yr having major, elective, noncardiac, non-orthopaedic surgery were identified from 2012 to 2022 using linked, routinely collected data in Ontario, Canada. Construct, convergent, and predictive validity were estimated. A multivariable ordinal regression model was derived and internally-externally validated.
resultsWe included 84 422 older adult surgical patients. At the patient-prioritised postoperative day 90, the distribution of patients across Postoperative Discharge Recovery State categories was: (1) dead (2718; 3.2%); (2) hospitalised (1696; 2.0%); (3) in long-term care (179; 0.2%); (4) in rehabilitation (593; 0.7%); and (5) at home (79 236; 93.9%). Directionally expected associations with baseline characteristics supported construct validity. Consistency in associations over time supported reliability. Relationships with days alive and at home supported convergent (ρ=0.373) and predictive (fewer days at home with worse recovery state) validity. A prespecified ordinal logistic regression model had inadequate accuracy (c-statistic 0.700, poor calibration) to support its clinical use.
conclusionsThe Postoperative Discharge Recovery State is a 5-level ordinal outcome that can be applied at key time points after surgery to quantify the proportion of patients in patient-prioritised discharge locations. Validity and reliability support utility, but further development will be required to maximise information gain relative to binary outcomes.
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