Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40562370›Full record

ArticleArquivos de neuro-psiquiatria2025

The impact of changing diagnostic criteria on disability in a Brazilian multiple sclerosis cohort.

Felipe Toscano Lins de Menezes, Jéssica Monique Dias Alencar, Alexandre Bussinger Lopes, Leizian de Souza Amorim, Raquel Paiva Portugal, Flávia Timbó Albuquerque, Natasha Pryanca de Araújo Bessa, Larissa Sabino Ferreira Vicente, Nilton Amorim de Souza, Denis Bernardi Bichuetti and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Arquivos de neuro-psiquiatria, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Felipe Toscano Lins de MenezesUniversidade Federal de São Paulo, Escola Paulista de Medicina, Departamento de Neurologia e Neurocirurgia, São Paulo SP, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0001-7332-2658
Jéssica Monique Dias AlencarUniversidade Federal de São Paulo, Escola Paulista de Medicina, Departamento de Neurologia e Neurocirurgia, São Paulo SP, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-6354-4043
Alexandre Bussinger LopesUniversidade Federal de São Paulo, Escola Paulista de Medicina, Departamento de Neurologia e Neurocirurgia, São Paulo SP, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0001-5466-2155
Leizian de Souza AmorimUniversidade Federal de São Paulo, Escola Paulista de Medicina, Departamento de Neurologia e Neurocirurgia, São Paulo SP, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-6545-0163
Raquel Paiva PortugalUniversidade Federal de São Paulo, Escola Paulista de Medicina, Departamento de Neurologia e Neurocirurgia, São Paulo SP, Brazil.ORCID 0009-0006-5199-7826
Flávia Timbó AlbuquerqueUniversidade Federal de São Paulo, Escola Paulista de Medicina, Departamento de Neurologia e Neurocirurgia, São Paulo SP, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-9937-5982
Natasha Pryanca de Araújo BessaUniversidade Federal de São Paulo, Escola Paulista de Medicina, Departamento de Neurologia e Neurocirurgia, São Paulo SP, Brazil.ORCID 0009-0002-5559-1269
Larissa Sabino Ferreira VicenteUniversidade Federal de São Paulo, Escola Paulista de Medicina, Departamento de Neurologia e Neurocirurgia, São Paulo SP, Brazil.ORCID 0009-0006-9014-3284
Nilton Amorim de SouzaUniversidade Federal de São Paulo, Escola Paulista de Medicina, Departamento de Neurologia e Neurocirurgia, São Paulo SP, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0003-1287-690X
Denis Bernardi BichuettiUniversidade Federal de São Paulo, Escola Paulista de Medicina, Departamento de Neurologia e Neurocirurgia, São Paulo SP, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-4011-3734
Enedina Maria Lobato de OliveiraUniversidade Federal de São Paulo, Escola Paulista de Medicina, Departamento de Neurologia e Neurocirurgia, São Paulo SP, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-4939-7200

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Updating multiple sclerosis (MS) diagnostic criteria over recent decades may have impacted disability progression.To assess the effects of the passage of time and changes in diagnostic criteria on disability.A retrospective study of Brazilian people with relapsing-remitting MS from 1994 to 2019. Descriptive analysis compared three periods based on admission: Epoch 1 (1994-2001), 2 (2002-2010), and 3 (2011-2019). Cox regressions were performed for the outcomes of the expanded disability status scale (EDSS) 6.0 and conversion to secondary progressive MS (SPMS). We compared the three Epochs in sequence, the Poser with all McDonald criteria combined, and Poser versus each McDonald criteria (2001, 2005, 2010, and 2017). A multivariate logistic regression assessed the impact of diagnostic criteria on patients reaching EDSS 6.0.Time to diagnosis and treatment decreased across Epochs. For reaching EDSS 6.0, the Cox regression indicated a hazard ratio (HR) 63% lower for Epoch 3 compared with 1, an HR 50% lower for the McDonald criteria combined, and an HR 65% lower for McDonald 2010 compared with Poser. Regarding the conversion to SPMS, the HR was 53% lower for Epoch 3, 48% lower for the McDonald criteria combined, and 64% lower for McDonald 2010. The multivariate logistic regression demonstrated that incomplete recovery of initial symptoms was the main prognostic factor for reaching EDSS 6.0. However, transitioning diagnostic criteria from Poser to McDonald 2001 and 2005 decreased these odds by 54%.Newer diagnostic criteria have reduced the likelihood of reaching EDSS 6.0 and converting to SPMS over the past 25 years.

Indexed as

Disability EvaluationMultiple Sclerosis, Chronic ProgressiveMultiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-RemittingAdultBrazilDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsRetrospective StudiesTime Factors

Identifiers

PMID40562370
PMCPMC12196560

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.