ArticleEpidemiologia e servicos de saude : revista do Sistema Unico de Saude do Brasil2025
HIV prevalence among persons deprived of liberty in Brazil, 2017-2023: a time series analysis.
Article in Epidemiologia e servicos de saude : revista do Sistema Unico de Saude do Brasil, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
objectiveTo analyze the temporal trend of the Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) prevalence in the population deprived of liberty, in Brazil, between the years 2017 and 2023.
methodsTime series analysis evaluation, from 2017 to 2023. The number of persons deprived of liberty and the number of HIV cases were collected from the. National Penitentiary Department Information System. In addition, sociodemographic variables were collected from each federative unit on the Atlas Brasil website concerning the National Household Sampling Survey (2021). Joinpoint software was used to calculate the annual percentage change (APC) through regressions. The relationship between HIV prevalence and indicators was analyzed in GeoDa 1.22.0.4.
resultsThe national prevalence of HIV in persons deprived of liberty was 10.84 cases per 1,000 inmates, with an increasing trend (APC 0.3; 95%CI 0.1;0.6). This rate was higher among women (23.64/1,000 inmates), however, it showed a decreasing trend (APC 0.7; 95%CI -1.2;-0.2). However, although being lower among men (10.15/1,000 inmates), the trend in this group was increasing (APC 0.5; 95%CI 0.2;0.8). As for region, the highest prevalence was in the South (15.12/1,000 inmates). Aging rate (p-value 0.014), per capita household income (p-value 0.021) and municipal human development Index (MHDI) adjusted for income (p-value 0.024) showed positive associations.
conclusionNationally, the prevalence was higher among women. However, while the prevalence among men showed an increasing trend, a reduction was observed among women over the period analyzed.
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