Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40557354›Full record

ArticleAnnals of surgery open : perspectives of surgical history, education, and clinical approaches2025

Predicthor: AI-Powered Predictive Risk Model for 30-Day Mortality and 30-Day Complications in Patients Undergoing Thoracic Surgery for Lung Cancer.

Xavier Durand, Julien Hédou, Grégoire Bellan, Pascal-Alexandre Thomas, Pierre-Benoît Pages, Xavier-Benoît D'Journo, Laurent Brouchet, Caroline Rivera, Pierre-Emmanuel Falcoz, André Gillibert and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of surgery open : perspectives of surgical history, education, and clinical approaches, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Xavier DurandFrom the SurgeCare, SAS, Department of Data Science, Paris, France.
Julien HédouFrom the SurgeCare, SAS, Department of Data Science, Paris, France.
Grégoire BellanFrom the SurgeCare, SAS, Department of Data Science, Paris, France.
Pascal-Alexandre ThomasDepartment of Thoracic Surgery and Diseases of the Esophagus, Aix-Marseille University, Marseille, France.
Pierre-Benoît PagesDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, CHU Dijon, France.
Xavier-Benoît D'JournoDepartment of Thoracic Surgery and Diseases of the Esophagus, Aix-Marseille University, Marseille, France.
Laurent BrouchetDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, CHU Toulouse, Toulouse, France.
Caroline RiveraDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Centre Hospitalier de la Côte Basque, Bayonne, France.
Pierre-Emmanuel FalcozDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, CHU Strasbourg, Strasbourg, France.
André GillibertDepartment of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery, CHU Rouen, Inserm, UNIVROUEN, France.
Jean-Marc BasteDepartment of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery, CHU Rouen, Inserm, UNIVROUEN, France.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objective: To assess the predictive performance of Predicthor, an artificial intelligence model, for 30-day mortality and complications following major pulmonary resections. Background: The significance of predicting postoperative complications in thoracic surgery lies in the impact on patient outcomes and the efficient allocation of healthcare resources. The longstanding use of the Thoracoscore for over 15 years in hospital settings emphasizes the opportune moment for an update, leveraging new artificial intelligence methodologies to enhance predictive precision and relevance. Methods: The EPITHOR French population-based database linked to the National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies database has been queried from January 1, 2016, through December 31, 2022, on 6 selected hospital centers (Rouen, Dijon and Toulouse CHUs, Strasbourg CHRU, Centre Hospitalier Général de Bayonne, and Assitance Publique des Hopitaux de Marseille) with curated data collection. A total of 6508 patients who have undergone primary lung cancer surgery via lobectomy or bilobectomy, aged over 18 years, and with anAmerican Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) physical status classification system score under 4, were selected. In a retrospective analysis using a 3-dataset scheme (training cohort, internal and external validation on 118 other centers), we assessed the predictive performance of Predicthor for 30-day complications and mortality following major pulmonary resections. Results: Postoperative complications occurred in 17.6% of patients, with 4.6% experiencing complications of Clavien-Dindo grade III or higher. Overall mortality was 0.6%. Predicthor excelled in predicting 30-day mortality with an area under the curve of 0.81 (95% CI = 0.79-0.83; Conclusions: Predicthor's predictive performance for 30-day mortality and complications highlighted its potential as a valuable tool in clinical decision-making. The study's methodology and comprehensive dataset contribute to its relevance in using machine learning on large available databases for shaping thoracic surgery practices and patient management.

Indexed as

artificial intelligencebilobectomyClavien–Dindocomplicationsdatadata curationepithorlobectomylungmachine learningmortalitypredicthorsurgerythoracic surgerythoracoscorevalidation

Identifiers

PMID40557354
PMCPMC12185074

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.