Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40557288›Full record

ArticleBMJ public health2025

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on health services utilisation and mortality in Ontario, Canada: an interrupted time series analysis.

Kiran Saqib, Joel A Dubin, Vivek Goel, Jeremy VanderDoes, Zahid A Butt

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Kiran SaqibSchool of Public Health Sciences, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-9663-2402
Joel A DubinSchool of Public Health Sciences, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada.
Vivek GoelSchool of Public Health Sciences, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada.
Jeremy VanderDoesDepartment of Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0009-0001-9885-3073
Zahid A ButtSchool of Public Health Sciences, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-2486-4781

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: This study explores changing patterns of healthcare utilisation for chronic diseases during the COVID-19 pandemic in Ontario, Canada. It compares prepandemic and pandemic morbidity and mortality, focusing on physician and emergency department visits, hospitalisations for anxiety, depression and chronic diseases, as well as all-cause mortality rates. Methods: We constructed a cohort of 2 950 384 adults (18+ years), using administrative health databases, who were living in Ontario, Canada, between the period of January 2017 and March 2023 and recorded the number of visits each individual had in the follow-up period related to chronic conditions. The data were then analysed using an interrupted time-series design to observe changes from before compared with during the pandemic in (1) monthly physician or emergency visits and hospitalisations and (2) monthly all-cause deaths. The exposure in this study was the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in Ontario, Canada. Results: In the prepandemic period, mean monthly PCR-tested visits in Ontario were 364 880, with a steady increase of 1210 visits per month. During the initial phase of the COVID-19 pandemic, there was a decline in physician visits and hospitalisations for chronic diseases. This trend changed, leading to a significant rise in visits that peaked in March 2021, increasing by 1690 visits monthly. From 2022 onwards, visits saw a notable decline, decreasing by 6830 per month (p<0.05), reflecting reduced healthcare utilisation in the later pandemic phases. Conclusions: The COVID-19 pandemic caused significant fluctuations in healthcare utilisation in Ontario. These changes suggest increased risks of missed diagnoses and delayed care, impacting morbidity and mortality. The results emphasise the importance of adaptable healthcare systems and strong pandemic preparedness to maintain care continuity, especially for chronic disease management, during resource-limited periods.

Indexed as

ComorbidityCOVID-19Mental Health

Identifiers

PMID40557288
PMCPMC12185889

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.