Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40553474›Full record

ArticleJAMA network open2025

Epidemiology of Neuroendocrine Neoplasms in the US.

Arvind Dasari, Katrine Wallace, Daniel M Halperin, Jessica Maxwell, Pamela Kunz, Simron Singh, Beth Chasen, James C Yao

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JAMA network open, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 64 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
64citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

64 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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  10. Rare solid tumours as indicators of hereditary cancer syndromes.European journal of human genetics : EJHG · 2026
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4 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Arvind DasariDepartment of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston.
Katrine WallaceDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Illinois, Chicago.
Daniel M HalperinWinship Cancer Institute, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia.
Jessica MaxwellDepartment of Surgical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston.
Pamela KunzDepartment of Medicine, Section of Medical Oncology, Yale School of Medicine and Yale Cancer Center, New Haven, Connecticut.
Simron SinghUniversity of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Beth ChasenDepartment of Nuclear Medicine, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston.
James C YaoDepartment of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston.

Funding

Tumor Evolution and Metastasis ProgramP30CA016672 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI Fabien Delerue · 1985 to 2026
$290.8M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA016672
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Importance: Neuroendocrine neoplasms (NENs) are increasing in incidence; prevalence and at the same time, practice patterns have also evolved, impacting classification and survival of these malignant neoplasms. However, updated epidemiological data are lacking. Objective: To define the epidemiological and survival trends of patients with NENs in the US. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional study used data from the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program on NEN cases from 1975 to 2021. Analysis of project data was conducted between August 2023 and August 2024. Main Outcomes and Measures: Annual age-adjusted incidence between 1975 and 2021, limited duration prevalence, and overall survival (OS) rates. Recent trends in survival were evaluated from 2000 to 2021 for the entire cohort as well as specific subgroups including distant stage gastrointestinal neuroendocrine tumors (NETs) and pancreatic NETs. Results: In this analysis of 145 447 NEN cases (mean [SD] age, 61.4 [14.7] years; 76 057 female [52.4%]), the age-adjusted incidence rate increased 5.2-fold from 1975 (1.64 per 100 000 persons; 95% CI, 1.43-1.87 per 100 000 persons) to 2021 (8.52 per 100 000 persons; 95% CI, 8.33-8.70 per 100 000 persons) except for a dip in 2020 likely related to the COVID pandemic. This increase occurred across all sites, stages, and grades but was most marked for localized stage neoplasms (13-fold; 1975: 0.40 per 100 000 persons [95% CI, 0.30-0.52]; 2021: 5.04 per 100 000 persons [95% CI, 4.78-5.30]), well-differentiated neoplasms (53-fold; 1975: 0.04 per 100 000 persons [95% CI, 0.02-0.09]; 2021: 2.30 per 100 000 persons [95% CI, 2.13-2.48]), and neoplasms with the appendix (12-fold; 1975: 0.11 per 100 000 persons [95% CI, 0.09-0.22]; 2021: 1.68 per 100 000 persons [95% CI, 1.39-1.78]) or rectum (12-fold; 1975: 0.11 per 100 000 persons [95% CI, 0.06-0.18]; 2021: 1.32 per 100 000 persons [95% CI, 1.19-1.46]) as primary sites. Since 2000 (SEER 17 registry), the sites with the highest incidence rates included lung (1.49 per 100 000 persons) and gastroenteropancreatic (GEP) NENs (6.1 per 100 000 persons); within GEP NENs, small bowel (1.4 per 100 000 persons) and pancreas (1.3 per 100 000 persons) were the most common sites. The estimated 20-year limited duration prevalence of NENs in the US on January 1, 2021, was 243 896 cases. OS for all NENs improved from the 2000-2006 period to the 2014-2021 period (hazard ratio [HR], 1.42; 95% CI, 1.38-1.45). In addition, other factors associated with survival included age, stage, grade, and primary site of origin. The median OS for all NENs was 11.8 years, and for distant-stage, well-differentiated neuroendocrine tumors it was 6.7 years with 10-year OS ranging from 17 410 patients (15.4%) with rectum as primary site to 17 505 patients (51.7%) with small bowel as primary site. Conclusions and Relevance: Incidence and prevalence of NENs continue to rise driven by increased diagnosis of early stage disease. Survival for NENs has also improved over time.

Indexed as

Neuroendocrine TumorsAdultAgedCOVID-19Cross-Sectional StudiesFemaleGastrointestinal NeoplasmsHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPancreatic NeoplasmsPrevalenceSEER ProgramSurvival RateUnited States

Identifiers

PMID40553474
PMCPMC12188367

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.