Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40551464›Full record

ArticleRenal failure2025

Exploring the association between volatile organic compound exposure and chronic kidney disease: evidence from explainable machine learning methods.

Liyan Jiang, Hongling Wang, Yang Xiao, Linlin Xu, Huoying Chen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Renal failure, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. An Exploration of Machine Learning Methods in Human Biomonitoring.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Liyan JiangDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Guilin Medical University, Guilin, China.ORCID 0000-0002-4190-7886
Hongling WangDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Guilin Medical University, Guilin, China.ORCID 0009-0003-5528-6130
Yang XiaoDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Guilin Medical University, Guilin, China.ORCID 0009-0006-8098-2383
Linlin XuDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Guilin Medical University, Guilin, China.ORCID 0009-0003-9544-6928
Huoying ChenDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Guilin Medical University, Guilin, China.ORCID 0000-0003-0796-5975

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundChronic Kidney Disease (CKD) affects approximately 697.5 million people worldwide. Volatile organic compounds (VOCs) are emerging as potential risk factors, but their complex relationships with CKD may be underestimated by traditional linear methods. This study explores the association between urinary VOC metabolites and CKD risk using a combination of epidemiological and interpretable machine learning approaches.

methodsData from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2011-March 2020 pre-pandemic) were analyzed to examine 15 urinary VOC metabolites. Analytical methods included multivariable logistic regression, LASSO regression, and five machine learning models: Logistic Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), and Multilayer Perceptron (MLP). SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis was used to enhance model interpretability.

resultsSignificant associations were observed for metabolites including CEMA (N-Acetyl-S-(2-carboxyethyl)-L-cysteine) (OR = 1.66, 95% CI: 1.17-2.37), DHBMA (N-Acetyl-S-(3,4-dihydroxybutyl)-L-cysteine) (OR = 1.95, 95% CI: 1.38-2.76), HMPMA (N-Acetyl-S-(3-hydroxypropyl-1-methyl)-L-cysteine) (OR = 2.18, 95% CI: 1.53-3.10), and PGA (Phenylglyoxylic acid) (OR = 1.66, 95% CI: 1.22-2.27). The XGBoost model demonstrated strong predictive performance, with SHAP analysis highlighting DHBMA as a key predictor. Inverse associations were observed for AAMA (N-Acetyl-S-(2-carbamoylethyl)-L-cysteine) and CYMA (N-Acetyl-S-(2-cyanoethyl)-L-cysteine) in their highest quartiles.

conclusionsThis integrated approach identified significant associations between specific urinary VOC metabolites and CKD risk, particularly DHBMA. These findings underscore the role of environmental VOC exposure in CKD pathogenesis and may inform targeted prevention strategies.

Indexed as

Environmental ExposureMachine LearningRenal Insufficiency, ChronicVolatile Organic CompoundsAdultAgedFemaleHumansLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedNutrition SurveysRisk FactorsVolatile Organic CompoundsChronic Kidney DiseaseMachine LearningNational Health and Nutrition Examination SurveySHAP AnalysisVolatile Organic Compounds

Identifiers

PMID40551464
PMCPMC12893483

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.