Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40550942›Full record

ArticleNpj mental health research2025

Development of the treatment prediction model in the artificial intelligence in depression - medication enhancement study.

David Benrimoh, Caitrin Armstrong, Joseph Mehltretter, Robert Fratila, Kelly Perlman, Sonia Israel, Adam Kapelner, Sagar V Parikh, Jordan F Karp, Katherine Heller and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Npj mental health research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

David BenrimohMcGill University, Department of Psychiatry, Montreal, Canada. david.benrimoh@mail.mcgill.ca.
Caitrin ArmstrongAifred Health, Montreal, Canada.
Joseph MehltretterAifred Health, Montreal, Canada.
Robert FratilaAifred Health, Montreal, Canada.
Kelly PerlmanMcGill University, Department of Psychiatry, Montreal, Canada.
Sonia IsraelAifred Health, Montreal, Canada.
Adam KapelnerDepartment of Mathematics, Queens College, CUNY, Queens, NY, USA.
Sagar V ParikhUniversity of Michigan, Ann Arbor, USA.
Jordan F KarpDepartment of Psychiatry, College of Medicine-Tucson, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA.
Katherine HellerGoogle, Mountain View, California, USA.
Gustavo TureckiMcGill University, Department of Psychiatry, Montreal, Canada.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We introduce an artificial intelligence model to personalize treatment in major depression, which was deployed in the Artificial Intelligence in Depression: Medication Enhancement Study. We predict probabilities of remission across multiple pharmacological treatments, validate model predictions, and examine them for biases. Data from 9042 adults with moderate to severe major depression from antidepressant clinical trials were used to train a deep learning model. On the held-out test-set, the model demonstrated an AUC of 0.65, outperformed a null model (p = 0.01). The model increased population remission rate in hypothetical and actual improvement testing. While the model identified escitalopram as generally outperforming other drugs (consistent with the input data), there was otherwise significant variation in drug rankings. The model did not amplify potentially harmful biases. We demonstrate the first model capable of predicting outcomes for 10 treatments, intended to be used at or near the start of treatment to personalize treatment selection.

Identifiers

PMID40550942
PMCPMC12185704

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.