Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40550688›Full record

Observational studyBMJ open gastroenterology2025

Association of distal adenoma and hyperplastic polyp characteristics with long-term proximal colon cancer risk: a secondary, observational analysis of data from the UK Flexible Sigmoidoscopy Screening Trial.

Rhea Harewood, Kate Wooldrage, Emma C Robbins, James Kinross, Christian von Wagner, Amanda J Cross

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMJ open gastroenterology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Rhea HarewoodCancer Screening and Prevention Research Group (CSPRG), Department of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, London, UK r.harewood@imperial.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4446-2138
Kate WooldrageCancer Screening and Prevention Research Group (CSPRG), Department of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8209-3113
Emma C RobbinsCancer Screening and Prevention Research Group (CSPRG), Department of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0828-8091
James KinrossDepartment of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Christian von WagnerResearch Department of Behavioural Science and Health, University College London, London, UK.
Amanda J CrossCancer Screening and Prevention Research Group (CSPRG), Department of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0893-2377

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesColorectal cancer screening with flexible sigmoidoscopy focuses on the distal colorectum, but it is unclear which distal polyp characteristics are associated with future proximal colon cancer incidence. We examined associations between distal adenoma or hyperplastic polyp characteristics and long-term incident proximal colon cancer.

methodsIn secondary, observational analyses of UK Flexible Sigmoidoscopy Screening Trial data, we obtained data on the number and size of distal hyperplastic polyps (n=4872) and adenomas (n=4581), adenoma histology and dysplasia from endoscopy and pathology reports for screened asymptomatic participants. Adjusted HRs and 95% CIs for the association between distal polyp characteristics and proximal colon cancer incidence were estimated using multivariable Cox proportional hazard models.

resultsOver a median of 20.7 years of follow-up (IQR 16.5-21.7), 110 proximal colon cancers were diagnosed among participants with distal adenomas and 96 were diagnosed among those with only distal hyperplastic polyps detected at baseline. Larger adenoma size (6-9 mm vs ≤5 mm: HR 1.67 (95%CI: 1.07 to 2.59) and ≥10 mm vs ≤5 mm: HR 2.08 (95%CI: 0.98 to 4.43); p=0.037) and high-grade (vs low-grade) adenoma dysplasia (HR 2.82, 95% CI: 1.34 to 5.93; p=0.012) at baseline were positively associated with proximal colon cancer incidence. No associations were observed for distal adenoma number overall or histology, or the number or size of hyperplastic polyps and proximal colon cancer incidence.

conclusionsWe found some evidence that larger distal adenomas and those with high-grade dysplasia at baseline were positively associated with proximal colon cancer incidence. Larger studies are needed to confirm these findings. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ISRCTN28352761.

Indexed as

AdenomaColonic NeoplasmsColonic PolypsEarly Detection of CancerSigmoidoscopyAgedFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansHyperplasiaIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsRisk FactorsUnited KingdomCOLONIC POLYPSCOLORECTAL ADENOMASCOLORECTAL CANCERCOLORECTAL CANCER SCREENINGENDOSCOPY

Identifiers

PMID40550688
PMCPMC12186034

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.