Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40546269›Full record

ArticleCommunications earth & environment2025

Battery electric vehicles show the lowest carbon footprints among passenger cars across 1.5-3.0 °C energy decarbonisation pathways.

Joris Šimaitis, Rick Lupton, Christopher Vagg, Isabela Butnar, Romain Sacchi, Stephen Allen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Communications earth & environment, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Rethinking electric vehicles in research and planning.Npj sustainable mobility and transport · 2025
    Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Joris ŠimaitisInstitute of Sustainability and Climate Change, University of Bath, Bath, UK.
Rick LuptonInstitute of Sustainability and Climate Change, University of Bath, Bath, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-8622-3085
Christopher VaggInstitute for Advanced Automotive Propulsions Systems, University of Bath, Bath, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-3424-8664
Isabela ButnarInstitute for Sustainable Resources, University College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9908-220X
Romain SacchiLaboratory for Energy Systems Analysis, Centers for Energy and Environmental Sciences and Nuclear Engineering and Sciences, Paul Scherrer Institute, Villigen, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-1440-0905
Stephen AllenInstitute of Sustainability and Climate Change, University of Bath, Bath, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0148-6466

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Passenger car carbon footprints are highly sensitive to future energy systems, a factor often overlooked in life cycle assessment. We use a time-dependent prospective life cycle assessment to enhance carbon footprints under four 1.5-3.0 °C decarbonisation pathways for electricity, fuel, and hydrogen from an energy-based integrated assessment model. Across 5000 comparative cases, battery electric vehicles consistently have the lowest carbon footprints compared to hybrid, plug-in hybrid, and fuel-cell vehicles. For example, battery electric vehicles show an average 32 to 47% lower footprint than hybrid combustion in 3.0 °C and 1.5 °C climate-compatible futures, respectively. This is driven by greater projected decarbonisation of electricity compared to fossil-dominated fuels and hydrogen. Battery electric vehicles meaningfully retain their advantage for mileages over 100,000 km, even in regions with carbon-intensive electricity since these are anticipated to decarbonise the most. Although our study supports battery electric vehicles as the most reliable climate-mitigation option for passenger cars, reducing their high manufacturing footprint remains important.

Indexed as

Climate-change mitigationEnvironmental impact

Identifiers

PMID40546269
PMCPMC12176635

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.