Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40544180›Full record

ArticleNPJ precision oncology2025

Prediction of long-term recurrence-free and overall survival in early-onset colorectal cancer: the ENCORE multi-centre study.

Alessandro Mannucci, Goretti Hernández, Hiroyuki Uetake, Yasuhide Yamada, Francesc Balaguer, Hideo Baba, Tianhui Chen, Jinfei Chen, C Richard Boland, Giulia Martina Cavestro and 2 more

3 registry-linked trialsAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in NPJ precision oncology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 3 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06271980 completednot on this map

Predicting Long-Term Recurrence-Free and Overall Survival in Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer Survivors

TypeobservationalSponsorCity of Hope Medical CenterRan2023 to 2024Enrolled177ConditionsColorectal Cancer Recurrent, Colorectal Cancer, Colorectal Neoplasms, Colorectal AdenocarcinomaArmsENCORE
NCT07450612 recruitingnot on this map

Liquid Biopsy and Machine Learning for Early Colorectal Cancer, Adenomas, Lynch Cancers, and Residual Disease Detection

TypeobservationalSponsorSan Raffaele UniversityRan2024 to 2031Enrolled1,200ConditionsColorectal Cancer, Adenoma Colon, Adenoma Colon Polyp, Colon AdenomaArmsBEACON
NCT07700992 recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

An Exosome-based and Machine-learning-powered Liquid Biopsy for Pancreatic Cancer Early-detection and Disease Monitoring

TypeobservationalSponsorUniversità Vita-Salute San RaffaeleRan2026 to 2032Enrolled600ConditionsFamilial Pancreatic Cancer, Familial Pancreatic Carcinoma, Hereditary Pancreatic Cancer, Hereditary PancreatitisArmsPANXEON
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Observational
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Alessandro MannucciDepartment of Molecular Diagnostics and Experimental Therapeutics, Beckman Research Institute of City of Hope, Monrovia, CA, USA.
Goretti HernándezGastroenterology Department, Hospital Universitario de Canarias, Universidad de La Laguna, Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain.
Hiroyuki UetakeDepartment of Specialized Surgeries, Graduate School, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan.
Yasuhide YamadaDepartment of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, National Cancer Center Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.
Francesc BalaguerGastroenterology Department, Hospital Clinic of Barcelona, Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Enfermedades Hepáticas y Digestivas (CIBERehd), Universitat de Barcelona, Institut d' Investigacions Biomediques August Pi i Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Spain.
Hideo BabaDepartment of Gastroenterological Surgery, Graduate School of Life Sciences; Kumamoto University, Kumamoto, Japan.
Tianhui ChenDepartment of Cancer Prevention, Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou, 310022, China.
Jinfei ChenDepartment of Oncology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, 325035, Zhejiang, China.
C Richard BolandDivision of Gastroenterology, School of Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.
Giulia Martina CavestroGastroenterology and Gastrointestinal Endoscopy Unit, Vita-Salute San Raffaele University; IRCCS San Raffaele Hospital, Milan, Italy.
Enrique QuinteroGastroenterology Department, Hospital Universitario de Canarias, Universidad de La Laguna, Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain.
Ajay GoelDepartment of Molecular Diagnostics and Experimental Therapeutics, Beckman Research Institute of City of Hope, Monrovia, CA, USA. AJGOEL@COH.ORG.

Funding

NIH HHS CA72851, CA181572, CA184792, CA187956, CA202797, and CA227602
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Survivors of early-onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC, i.e., diagnosed before age 50) are likely to experience recurrence after completing treatment. In this international, multi-centric, phase I-II-III EDRN biomarker study, we identified a panel of tumor-derived biomarkers of EOCRC recurrence. We then trained and independently validated a machine learning model (XGBoost) to predict 5-year recurrence-free and overall survival (RFS and OS) of patients with stage I-III EOCRC. Patients with "low-risk" EOCRC demonstrated statistically higher rates of 2-, 5-, and 10 year RFS in both the training cohort (51.0 vs. 92.4%; 34.4% vs. 92.4%; 25.8% vs. 92.4%, respectively; p < 0.0001) and the validation cohort (78.9% vs. 100.0%; 75.0% vs. 100.0%; 75.0% vs. 100.0%, respectively; p = 0.0019). We also report a significant reduction in both over-treatment and missed recurrences compared to current clinically available options. This tissue-based, machine learning-powered assay was prognostic of long-term RFS and OS outcomes after curative-intent treatment of EOCRC (ENCORE was first registered on ClinicalTrial.gov [ID: NCT06271980] on February 15th, 2024).

Identifiers

PMID40544180
PMCPMC12182588

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.