ArticleCarbon balance and management2025
Afforestation as a mitigation strategy: countering climate-induced risk of forest carbon sink in China.
Article in Carbon balance and management, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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1 citing paper in PubMed.
- How does thinning affect the carbon budget of a subtropical coniferous plantation?Carbon balance and management · 2025Article
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9 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundChina has made substantial efforts in afforestation since the 1970s, significantly contributing to the country's forest carbon sink. However, the future carbon sink dynamics remain uncertain due to anticipated changes in forest age structure, climate conditions, and atmospheric CO
resultsThe baseline aboveground biomass (AGB) of China's forests in 2020 is estimated at 11.59 ± 4.06 PgC. Under the nature scenario and assuming no future disturbances, the total AGB is projected to increase by 5.20-5.74 PgC by the 2050s and by 6.35-8.11 PgC by the 2070s, while carbon sequestration rates are expected to decline from 146.03 to 165.03 TgC/yr to approximately 122.98-137.80 TgC/yr. Between 11.79 and 39.60% of forests are at risk of land loss and compositional shifts in the 2070s, with the situation exacerbated under the SSP585 scenario. To mitigate climate-induced risks, the afforestation scenario proposes an additional 117.90-129.32 Mha of suitable forest area by the 2070s. Newly planted forests are projected to contribute approximately 37.42-65.60% of the carbon sequestration achieved by existing forests during the same period.
conclusionsClimate change is projected to cause significant forest loss and compositional changes across China. Although total forest carbon storage is expected to increase, the overall rate of carbon sequestration will likely decline. Afforestation emerges as a key strategy to enhance future forest carbon sinks. This study provides a spatially explicit assessment of carbon sequestration potential through afforestation and offers science-based guidance for the design of targeted forest policies in China.
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