Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40542763›Full record

ArticleAsian Pacific journal of cancer prevention : APJCP2025

Incidence, Trends and Survival of Oral Cavity Squamous Cell Carcinoma in Aotearoa New Zealand over 15 Years (2006-2020).

Thu Thu Win Myint, Nick McIvor, Richard Douglas, Alana Cavadino, Mark Elwood

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Asian Pacific journal of cancer prevention : APJCP, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Heterogeneity in Survival Over Time by Age, Sex, and Subsite in Early-Onset Oral Cavity Cancer.Otolaryngology--head and neck surgery : official journal of American Academy of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Thu Thu Win MyintDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Population Health, The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.ORCID 0000-0002-1570-4874
Nick McIvorDepartment of Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery, Te Toka Tumai, Auckland, Te Whatu Ora, Health New Zealand.
Richard DouglasDepartment of Surgery, School of Medicine, The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
Alana CavadinoDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Population Health, The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
Mark ElwoodDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Population Health, The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOver recent decades, there have been changes in the incidence of squamous cell carcinoma of the oral cavity (OCSCC) in many countries. However, recent data on OCSCC in New Zealand has not been examined. This study examines the current incidence, trends and survival of OCSCC in New Zealand and identifies demographic differences by age, sex and ethnicity.

methodPatients with a primary diagnosis of OCSCC between 2006 and 2020 were retrieved from the National Cancer Registry. Age-standardised incidence rates (ASRs) were calculated and compared using age-standardised incidence rate ratios (ASRRs). Time trends were assessed by joinpoint regression with annual percentage changes, and overall and relative survival rates were estimated.

resultsOver 15 years, 2094 cases of OCSCC were identified, and the average annual incidence was 2.1 per 100,000. The rates were higher in males (ASRR= 1.4 compared to females), older age groups (ASRR=11.3 in 50-69 years; ASRR=25.4 in 70+ years compared to <50 years), and Pasifika (ASRR=1.4, compared to European). OCSCC incidence increased significantly between 2009 and 2017 and decreased between 2017 and 2020. Females followed the same pattern of trends as overall OCSCC, while trends in males showed no significant changes. The survival outcome of OCSCC at five years was 57% and 66% for absolute and relative survival, respectively. Survival outcomes were poorer in males (HR = 1.20 compared to females), older age groups (HR=1.77 in 50-69 years; HR=4.21 in 70+ years compared to <50 years), Māori (HR=1.37 compared to European) and tumours originated from the floor of mouth (HR=1.40), palate (HR=1.47) and buccal (HR=1.54) compared to tongue.

conclusionThis study shows that the incidence of OCSCC overall and in females increased from 2009 to 2017, but declined significantly after 2017 in New Zealand. Incidence and survival rates are influenced by sex, age, ethnicity and subsite.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, Squamous CellMouth NeoplasmsAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedNew ZealandPrognosisRegistriesSurvival RateIncidenceMouth Neoplasmsoral cancersurvival

Identifiers

PMID40542763
PMCPMC12374509

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.