Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40541962›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Quantitative measurement of phenotype dynamics during cancer drug resistance evolution using genetic barcoding.

Frederick J H Whiting, Maximilian Mossner, Calum Gabbutt, Christopher Kimberley, Chris P Barnes, Ann-Marie Baker, Erika Yara-Romero, Andrea Sottoriva, Richard A Nichols, Trevor A Graham

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
  3. Review
  4. Evolutionary dynamics under phenotypic uncertainty.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
    Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Frederick J H WhitingCentre for Evolution and Cancer, Institute of Cancer Research, London, UK. freddie.whiting@icr.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4090-7136
Maximilian MossnerCentre for Evolution and Cancer, Institute of Cancer Research, London, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9751-3803
Calum GabbuttCentre for Evolution and Cancer, Institute of Cancer Research, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1946-4780
Christopher KimberleyCentre for Genomics and Computational Biology, Barts Cancer Institute, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK.
Chris P BarnesDepartment of Cell and Development Biology, Division of Biosciences, University College London, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9459-1395
Ann-Marie BakerCentre for Evolution and Cancer, Institute of Cancer Research, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8905-9137
Erika Yara-RomeroCentre for Evolution and Cancer, Institute of Cancer Research, London, UK.
Andrea SottorivaCentre for Evolution and Cancer, Institute of Cancer Research, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6709-9533
Richard A NicholsDepartment of Biology, School of Biological and Behavioural Sciences, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK. r.a.nichols@qmul.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4801-9312
Trevor A GrahamCentre for Evolution and Cancer, Institute of Cancer Research, London, UK. trevor.graham@icr.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9582-1597

Funding

Cancer Research UK (CRUK) A19771Cancer Research UK (CRUK) DRCNPG-May21_100001Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust (Wellcome) 202778/Z/16/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Cancer treatment frequently fails due to the evolution of drug-resistant cell phenotypes driven by genetic or non-genetic changes. The origin, timing, and rate of spread of these adaptations are critical for understanding drug resistance mechanisms but remain challenging to observe directly. We present a mathematical framework to infer drug resistance dynamics from genetic lineage tracing and population size data without direct measurement of resistance phenotypes. Simulation experiments demonstrate that the framework accurately recovers ground-truth evolutionary dynamics. Experimental evolution to 5-Fu chemotherapy in colorectal cancer cell lines SW620 and HCT116 validates the framework. In SW620 cells, a stable pre-existing resistant subpopulation was inferred, whereas in HCT116 cells, resistance emerged through phenotypic switching into a slow-growing resistant state with stochastic progression to full resistance. Functional assays, including scRNA-seq and scDNA-seq, validate these distinct evolutionary routes. This framework facilitates rapid characterisation of resistance mechanisms across diverse experimental settings.

Indexed as

Colorectal NeoplasmsDNA Barcoding, TaxonomicDrug Resistance, NeoplasmCell Line, TumorEvolution, MolecularFluorouracilHCT116 CellsHumansPhenotypeFluorouracil

Identifiers

PMID40541962
PMCPMC12181405

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.