Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40540564›Full record

ArticleScience advances2025

Global cooling drove diversification and warming caused extinction among Carboniferous-Permian fusuline foraminifera.

Shu-Han Zhang, Ying-Ying Zhao, Yu-Kun Shi, Qiang Fang, Xiang-Dong Wang, Jun-Xuan Fan, Yi-Chun Zhang, Dong-Xun Yuan, Yue Wang, Fei-Fei Zhang and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Shu-Han ZhangState Key Laboratory of Critical Earth Material Cycling and Mineral Deposits, School of Earth Sciences and Engineering and Frontiers Science Center for Critical Earth Material Cycling, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China.ORCID 0000-0002-9441-6386
Ying-Ying ZhaoState Key Laboratory of Critical Earth Material Cycling and Mineral Deposits, School of Earth Sciences and Engineering and Frontiers Science Center for Critical Earth Material Cycling, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China.ORCID 0000-0003-4536-4329
Yu-Kun ShiState Key Laboratory of Critical Earth Material Cycling and Mineral Deposits, School of Earth Sciences and Engineering and Frontiers Science Center for Critical Earth Material Cycling, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China.ORCID 0000-0002-1412-179X
Qiang FangState Key Laboratory of Biogeology and Environmental Geology, China University of Geosciences, Beijing 100083, China.ORCID 0000-0002-9023-020X
Xiang-Dong WangState Key Laboratory of Critical Earth Material Cycling and Mineral Deposits, School of Earth Sciences and Engineering and Frontiers Science Center for Critical Earth Material Cycling, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China.ORCID 0000-0002-1426-8089
Jun-Xuan FanState Key Laboratory of Critical Earth Material Cycling and Mineral Deposits, School of Earth Sciences and Engineering and Frontiers Science Center for Critical Earth Material Cycling, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China.ORCID 0000-0001-9913-0865
Yi-Chun ZhangState Key Laboratory of Palaeobiology and Stratigraphy, Nanjing Institute of Geology and Palaeontology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing 210008, China.ORCID 0000-0001-9807-6887
Dong-Xun YuanSchool of Resources and Geosciences, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China.ORCID 0000-0001-9249-0569
Yue WangState Key Laboratory of Palaeobiology and Stratigraphy, Nanjing Institute of Geology and Palaeontology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing 210008, China.ORCID 0000-0001-9303-2842
Fei-Fei ZhangState Key Laboratory of Critical Earth Material Cycling and Mineral Deposits, School of Earth Sciences and Engineering and Frontiers Science Center for Critical Earth Material Cycling, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China.ORCID 0000-0003-3277-445X
Huai-Chun WuState Key Laboratory of Biogeology and Environmental Geology, China University of Geosciences, Beijing 100083, China.ORCID 0000-0002-7708-0788
Douglas H ErwinDepartment of Paleobiology, MRC-121 National Museum of Natural History, P.O. Box 37012, Washington, DC 20013-7012, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2518-5614
Charles R MarshallDepartment of Integrative Biology and University of California Museum of Paleontology, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7832-0950
Shu-Zhong ShenState Key Laboratory of Critical Earth Material Cycling and Mineral Deposits, School of Earth Sciences and Engineering and Frontiers Science Center for Critical Earth Material Cycling, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China.ORCID 0000-0001-8380-0692

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The fossil record provides the only direct evidence of changes in biodiversity over time. Patterns in more inclusive taxonomic levels (e.g., families and orders) often become more complex because of interactions between biological traits and environmental conditions across different evolutionary lineages. Using supercomputing and artificial intelligence algorithms, we analyzed a high-resolution global dataset of fusuline foraminifera-the most diverse marine fossil group from the Carboniferous to the Permian (~340 to 252 million years ago)-at an unprecedented temporal resolution of <45 thousand years. Our unbinned diversity reconstruction reveals unexpectedly simple diversity dynamics in this exceptionally well-preserved clade. We identify two (and likely a third) truncated exponential diversifications and four major diversity declines. During this interval, long-term cooling consistently promoted biodiversification, whereas warming events were closely linked to extinctions. These findings imply that the current rapid global warming, driven by anthropogenic CO

Indexed as

BiodiversityExtinction, BiologicalForaminiferaGlobal WarmingEcosystemFossilsPhylogeny

Identifiers

PMID40540564
PMCPMC12180502

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.