Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40539416›Full record

ArticleAnnals of neurology2025

Timing of Changes in Alzheimer's Disease Plasma Biomarkers as Assessed by Amyloid and Tau PET Clocks.

Marta Milà-Alomà, Duygu Tosun, Suzanne E Schindler, Isabella Hausle, Kellen K Petersen, Yan Li, Jeffrey L Dage, Lei Du-Cuny, Ziad S Saad, Benjamin Saef and 18 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of neurology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 33 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
33citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

33 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Do amyloid trajectories reach a ceiling? Evidence from iterative approximation and simulation.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2026
    Article
  2. Exploring longitudinal relationships among Alzheimer's disease biomarkers.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Multi-domain AD risk burden and plasma biomarkers in cognitively unimpaired adults.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Review
  11. Comparative analyses of Alzheimer's disease blood biomarkers and cognitive domains.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Ancestry-specific effects ofmedRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
    Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

28 authors.

Marta Milà-AlomàNorthern California Institute for Research and Education, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Duygu TosunNorthern California Institute for Research and Education, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Suzanne E SchindlerDepartment of Neurology, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, USA.
Isabella HausleNorthern California Institute for Research and Education, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Kellen K PetersenDepartment of Neurology, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, USA.
Yan LiDepartment of Neurology, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, USA.
Jeffrey L DageDepartment of Neurology, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, IN, USA.
Lei Du-CunyAbbVie, Ludwigshafen am Rhein, Rheinland-Pfalz, Germany.
Ziad S SaadNeuroscience Biomarkers, Johnson and Johnson Innovative Medicine, San Diego, CA, USA.
Benjamin SaefDepartment of Neurology, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, USA.
Gallen Triana-BaltzerNeuroscience Biomarkers, Johnson and Johnson Innovative Medicine, San Diego, CA, USA.
David L RaunigTakeda Pharmaceutical Company Ltd., Cambridge, MA, USA.
Janaky CoomaraswamyTakeda Pharmaceutical Company Ltd., Cambridge, MA, USA.
Michael BarattaTakeda Pharmaceutical Company Ltd., Cambridge, MA, USA.
Emily A MeyersAlzheimer's Association, Chicago, IL, USA.
Yulia MordashovaAbbVie, Ludwigshafen am Rhein, Rheinland-Pfalz, Germany.
Carrie E RubelBiogen, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Kyle FerberBiogen, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Hartmuth KolbEnigma Biomedical Group, San Diego, CA, USA.
Nicholas J AshtonInstitute of Neuroscience and Physiology, Department of Psychiatry and Neurochemistry, The Sahlgrenska Academy at University of Gothenburg, Mölndal, Sweden.
Henrik ZetterbergInstitute of Neuroscience and Physiology, Department of Psychiatry and Neurochemistry, The Sahlgrenska Academy at University of Gothenburg, Mölndal, Sweden.
Erin G RosenbaughThe Foundation for the National Institutes of Health, North Bethesda, MD, USA.
Martin SabandalThe Foundation for the National Institutes of Health, North Bethesda, MD, USA.ORCID 0009-0004-4343-4770
Leslie M ShawDepartment of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7650-1210
Anthony W BannonAbbVie, North Chicago, IL, USA.
William Z Potter
Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI)
Foundation for the National Institutes of Health (FNIH) Biomarkers Consortium Plasma Aβ and Phosphorylated Tau as Predictors of Amyloid and Tau Positivity in Alzheimer's Disease Project Team

Funding

Project 1U19AG024904 · NIA · NORTHERN CALIFORNIA INSTITUTE/RES/EDU · PI ANDREW J SAYKIN · 2016 to 2026
$226.7M
National Centralized Repository for Alzheimer's Disease and Related Dementias (NCRAD)U24AG021886 · NIA · INDIANA UNIV-PURDUE UNIV AT INDIANAPOLIS · PI TATIANA M. FOROUD · 2002 to 2026
$119.8M
Staging Alzheimer disease with blood-based biomarkersR01AG070941 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI SCHINDLER, SUZANNE ELIZABETH · 2021 to 2025
$4.3M
Alzheimer's Association AARF-23-1141384Biomarkers Consortium, Plasma Aβ and Phosphorylated Tau as Predictors of Amyloid and Tau Positivity in Alzheimer's Disease Project a public-private partnership managed by the Foundation for the National Institutes of HealthNIA NIH HHS R01 AG070941NIA NIH HHS R01AG070941NIA NIH HHS U19 AG024904NIA NIH HHS U24 AG021886
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThe objective of this study was to evaluate the timing of change of Alzheimer's disease (AD) plasma biomarkers (Aβ42/Aβ40, p-tau217, p-tau181, GFAP, and NfL) from six different assay platforms, alongside established AD biomarkers, using amyloid and tau positron emission tomography (PET)-based AD progression timelines.

methodsData from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI), including 784 individuals with longitudinal amyloid PET and 359 with longitudinal tau PET, were analyzed to estimate the age at amyloid and tau PET positivity, respectively. Longitudinal plasma biomarker measurements were available from 190 individuals with an estimated amyloid PET positivity age and from 70 individuals with an estimated tau PET positivity age. In a subset of 17 clinical progressors, age at tau PET positivity strongly predicted symptom onset, allowing for estimation of symptom onset age. Biomarker trajectories based on time from amyloid or tau PET positivity or symptom onset were modelled using Generalized Additive Mixed models. Time intervals of significant biomarker change and the earliest timepoints at which biomarkers exceeded predefined abnormality thresholds were identified.

resultsAll plasma biomarkers except NfL became abnormal prior to established thresholds for amyloid and tau PET positivity. Plasma Aβ42/Aβ40 became abnormal very early in both amyloid PET and tau PET timelines, while plasma GFAP became abnormal early in the tau PET timeline. Plasma Aβ42/Aβ40 levels plateaued, whereas plasma p-tau217, p-tau181, GFAP, and NfL levels increased throughout the modeled disease progression. Some variations in the timing of these changes were observed across different biomarker assays.

interpretationThese findings suggest that the plasma Aβ42/Aβ40 may be useful in identifying individuals with very low levels of amyloid pathology, whereas p-tau, GFAP, and NfL may be useful in staging disease progression. ANN NEUROL 2025;98:508-523.

Indexed as

Alzheimer DiseaseAmyloid beta-Peptidestau ProteinsAgedAged, 80 and overBiomarkersDisease ProgressionFemaleGlial Fibrillary Acidic ProteinHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedNeurofilament ProteinsPeptide FragmentsPositron-Emission TomographyAmyloid beta-Peptidesamyloid beta-protein (1-42)BiomarkersGlial Fibrillary Acidic ProteinMAPT protein, humanneurofilament protein LNeurofilament ProteinsPeptide Fragmentstau Proteins

Identifiers

PMID40539416
PMCPMC12335434

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.