Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40539327›Full record

ArticleBiometrics2025

Design of platform trials with a change in the control treatment arm.

Peter Greenstreet, Thomas Jaki, Alun Bedding, Pavel Mozgunov

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biometrics, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Peter GreenstreetOttawa Methods Centre, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, ON K1H 8L6, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-4997-8742
Thomas JakiMRC Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 0RS, United Kingdom.
Alun BeddingAlun Bedding Coaching & Consulting Ltd, Bury St Edmunds, IP28 8PU, United Kingdom.
Pavel MozgunovMRC Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 0RS, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-6810-0284

Funding

CIHR #262556Department of Health and Social CareEPSRC EP/S022252/1National Institute for Health ResearchNational Institute for Health Research NIHR300576UK Medical Research Council MC UU 00002/14UK Medical Research Council MC UU 00002/19UK Medical Research Council MC_UU_00040/03
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Platform trials are an efficient way of testing multiple treatments. We consider platform trials where, if a treatment is found to be superior to the control, it will become the new standard of care. The remaining treatments are then tested against this new control. In this setting, one can either keep the information on both the new standard of care and the other active treatments before the control is changed or discard this information when testing for benefit of the remaining treatments. We show analytically and numerically, retaining the information collected before the change in control can be detrimental to the power in a frequentist multi-arm multi-stage trial. Specifically, we consider the overall power, the probability that the active treatment with the greatest treatment effect is found during the trial, and the conditional power, the probability a given treatment is found superior against the current control. Also studied is the conditional type I error, the probability a given treatment is incorrectly found superior against the current control. We prove when retaining the information decreases both the overall and conditional power but also decreases the conditional type I error. A motivating example is then studied. Based on these observations, we discuss different aspects to consider when deciding whether to run a continuous platform trial or run an inherently new trial using the same trial infrastructure.

Indexed as

Clinical Trials as TopicResearch DesignBiometryComputer SimulationData Interpretation, StatisticalHumansModels, StatisticalProbabilitychange in controlfrequentist trialsmulti-armmulti-stageplatform trials

Identifiers

PMID40539327
PMCPMC12204708

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.