Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40538848›Full record

SynthesisFrontiers in oncology2025

Predicting overall survival benefit in previously untreated, unresectable or metastatic melanoma from improvement in progression-free survival: a correlation meta-analysis.

Peter Mohr, Murat Kurt, Swetha Srinivasan, Andriy Moshyk, Flavia Ejzykowicz, Paul Serafini, Mir-Masoud Pourrahmat, Lisa Leung

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Frontiers in oncology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Peter MohrDepartment of Dermatology, Elbe Kliniken Buxtehude, Buxtehude, Germany.
Murat KurtBristol Myers Squibb, Princeton, NJ, United States.
Swetha SrinivasanBristol Myers Squibb, Princeton, NJ, United States.
Andriy MoshykBristol Myers Squibb, Princeton, NJ, United States.
Flavia EjzykowiczBristol Myers Squibb, Princeton, NJ, United States.
Paul SerafiniEvidinno Research Outcomes Inc., Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Mir-Masoud PourrahmatEvidinno Research Outcomes Inc., Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Lisa LeungEvidinno Research Outcomes Inc., Vancouver, BC, Canada.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objectives: To evaluate the association between the treatment effects on progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) for previously untreated, unresectable or metastatic melanoma. Methods: A systematic literature review identified eligible trials reporting PFS and OS. Bivariate random effects meta-analysis (BRMA) was performed to estimate the correlation between the hazard ratios (HRs) of OS (HR Results: BRMA and WLR estimated a correlation of 0.74 (95%CI: 0.51-0.87) and 0.81 (95%CI: 0.58-0.92), respectively. The estimated surrogacy equation derived from the WLR was lnHR Conclusions: Results suggest a clinically meaningful and moderate trial-level correlation between PFS and OS across all analyses. The analyses and high accuracy of the surrogacy equations shown in internal and external validations can enable earlier prediction of treatment effects on OS from the improvements on PFS for previously untreated unresectable or metastatic melanoma.

Indexed as

melanomameta-analysisoverall survivalprogression-free survivalsurrogacysystematic review

Identifiers

PMID40538848
PMCPMC12176743

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.