Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40537271›Full record

ArticleBMJ global health2025

The global economic burden of antibiotic-resistant infections and the potential impact of bacterial vaccines: a modelling study.

Nichola R Naylor, Mateusz Hasso-Agopsowicz, Chaelin Kim, Yixuan Ma, Isabel Frost, Kaja Abbas, Gisela Aguilar, Naomi Fuller, Julie V Robotham, Mark Jit

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ global health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 31 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
31citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

31 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Women's Experiences of Recurrent UTIs: A Qualitative Study of Preventive Management and Decision Support Needs.Health expectations : an international journal of public participation in health care and health policy · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
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  6. [Development and integration of ASP assessment tools for bacteraemia and infections caused by multidrug-resistant microorganisms in paediatrics].Revista espanola de quimioterapia : publicacion oficial de la Sociedad Espanola de Quimioterapia · 2026
    Article
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  11. Monoclonal Antibodies Targeting Bacterial Infections: A Broad Review of the Field.BioDrugs : clinical immunotherapeutics, biopharmaceuticals and gene therapy · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Nichola R NaylorDepartment of Health Services Research and Policy, The London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK nichola.r.naylor@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4122-6631
Mateusz Hasso-AgopsowiczImmunization, Vaccines & Biologicals, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4137-4685
Chaelin KimDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Yixuan MaAquarius Population Health Ltd, London, UK.
Isabel FrostImmunization, Vaccines & Biologicals, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0095-0845
Kaja AbbasDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0563-1576
Gisela AguilarUniversity of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Naomi FullerDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4026-5591
Julie V RobothamHCAI, Fungal, AMR, AMU & Sepsis Division, UK Health Security Agency, London, UK.
Mark JitDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.

Funding

Gates Foundation INV-005318Wellcome TrustWorld Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionAntibiotic resistance (ABR) may increase hospital costs, utility loss and mortality risk per patient. Understanding these losses at national, regional and global scales is necessary for efficiently tackling ABR. Our aim is to estimate the global economic burden of antibiotic-resistant infections and the potential for bacterial vaccines to mitigate this burden.

methodsWe take healthcare system and labour productivity perspectives. Hospital cost-per-case and length-of-stay estimates were calculated through meta-analyses and reviewing published systematic reviews. Unit labour productivity losses were estimated through a human capital approach. Modelled estimates were used where secondary data were missing. Death and incidence data were combined with unit cost data to estimate the economic burden associated with ABR in 2019, and the potential costs averted (in 2019 US$) based on uptake scenarios of vaccines that currently exist or are likely to be developed.

resultsMultidrug-resistant tuberculosis had the highest mean hospital cost attributable to ABR per patient, the range was US$3000 in lower-income settings to US$41 000 in high-income settings, with carbapenem-resistant infections associated with a high cost-per-case of US$3000-US$7000 depending on syndrome. ABR was associated with a median value of US$693 billion (IQR: US$627 bn-US$768 bn) in hospital costs globally, with US$207 bn (IQR: US$186 bn-US$229 bn) potentially avertable by vaccines. Productivity losses were quantified at almost US$194 billion, with US$76 bn avertable by vaccines.

conclusionsThe economic burden of ABR is associated with high levels of hospital bed-days occupied, hospital spending and labour productivity losses globally and should, therefore, remain high on national and international policy agendas. Vaccines against

Indexed as

Bacterial InfectionsBacterial VaccinesCost of IllnessDrug Resistance, BacterialGlobal HealthHospital CostsHumansModels, EconomicBacterial VaccinesGlobal HealthHealth economicsVaccines

Identifiers

PMID40537271
PMCPMC12182023

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.