Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40533541›Full record

ArticleNature2025

Impacts of climate change on global agriculture accounting for adaptation.

Andrew Hultgren, Tamma Carleton, Michael Delgado, Diana R Gergel, Michael Greenstone, Trevor Houser, Solomon Hsiang, Amir Jina, Robert E Kopp, Steven B Malevich and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 57 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
57citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

57 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
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  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Introgression of rye chromosome arm 1RS enhances climate resilience in German winter wheat.TAG. Theoretical and applied genetics. Theoretische und angewandte Genetik · 2026
    Article
  14. Review
  15. CarryingInsects · 2026
    Article
  16. Review
  17. HHorticulture research · 2026
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Andrew HultgrenDepartment of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, USA. ahultgr@illinois.edu.
Tamma CarletonDepartment of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5518-0550
Michael DelgadoRhodium Group, Oakland, CA, USA.
Diana R GergelBlackRock, New York, NY, USA.
Michael GreenstoneNational Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), Cambridge, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2364-2810
Trevor HouserRhodium Group, Oakland, CA, USA.
Solomon HsiangNational Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), Cambridge, MA, USA. solhsiang@stanford.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-2074-0829
Amir JinaNational Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), Cambridge, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3446-7883
Robert E KoppDepartment of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4016-9428
Steven B MalevichRhodium Group, Oakland, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4752-8190
Kelly E McCuskerRhodium Group, Oakland, CA, USA.
Terin MayerHubert H. Humphrey School of Public Affairs, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Ishan NathFederal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.
James RisingSchool of Marine Science and Policy, University of Delaware, Newark, DE, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8514-4748
Ashwin RodeDepartment of Economics, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1369-4331
Jiacan YuanFudan University, Shanghai, China.ORCID 0000-0003-3847-4490

Funding

; National Science FoundationUS Department of Energy’
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change threatens global food systems

Indexed as

AcclimatizationAgricultureClimate ChangeCrops, AgriculturalCrop ProductionFood SupplyIncomeInternationalityTemperature

Identifiers

PMID40533541
PMCPMC12176627

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.