Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40530613›Full record

ArticleUnited European gastroenterology journal2025

Small and Stable Pancreatic Cysts Are Reassuring During Surveillance: Results From the PACYFIC Trial.

Iris J M Levink, Marloes L J A Sprij, Brechtje D M Koopmann, Jihane Meziani, Sanne Jaarsma, Priscilla A van Riet, Kasper A Overbeek, Myrte Gorris, Rogier P Voermans, Jeanin E van Hooft and 32 more

Erratum issuedAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in United European gastroenterology journal, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

42 authors.

Iris J M LevinkDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-9825-8728
Marloes L J A SprijDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Brechtje D M KoopmannDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Jihane MezianiDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID 0009-0000-4205-6860
Sanne JaarsmaDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Priscilla A van RietDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Kasper A OverbeekDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-1829-9963
Myrte GorrisDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Amsterdam UMC, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-6459-1434
Rogier P VoermansDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Amsterdam UMC, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-9969-019X
Jeanin E van HooftDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands.
Riccardo CasadeiDepartment of Surgery, Bologna University, Bologna, Italy.
Mariacristina Di MarcoDepartment of Surgery, Bologna University, Bologna, Italy.
Michael B WallaceDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Jacksonville, Florida, USA.
Sanne A HoogenboomDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Amsterdam UMC, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Neville AzopardiDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Mater dei Hospital, Msida, Malta.
Reea AholaDepartment of Surgery, Tampere University Hospital, Tampere, Finland.
Marcin PolkowskiDepartment of Gastroenterology, Hepatology, and Clinical Oncology, Center of Postgraduate Medical Education, Warsaw, Poland.
Pieter HonkoopDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Albert Schweitzer Hospital, Dordrecht, the Netherlands.
Silvia CarraraDepartment of Gastroenterology, IRCCS Humanitas Research Hospital Milan, Rozzano, Italy.
Erik J SchoonDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Catharina Hospital, Eindhoven, the Netherlands.
Niels G VennemanDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Medisch Spectrum Twente, Enschede, the Netherlands.
Laurens A van der WaaijDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Martini Hospital, Groningen, the Netherlands.
Anne-Marie van BerkelDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Noordwest ziekenhuisgroep, Alkmaar, the Netherlands.
Gemma RossiPancreato-Biliary Endoscopy and Endosonography Division, Pancreas Translational and Clinical Research Center, Milan, Italy.
Jilling F BergmannDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, HagaZiekenhuis, The Hague, the Netherlands.
Elizabeth PandoDepartment of Surgery, Vall d'Hebron Institute of Research, Barcelona, Spain.
Georg BeyerDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Ludwig-Maximilians-University of Munich, Munich, Germany.
Matthijs P SchwartzDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Meander Medical Center, Amersfoort, the Netherlands.
Frederike G I van VilsterenDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands.
Chantal HogeDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Maastricht University Medical Center, Maastricht, the Netherlands.
Marianne E SmitsDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Tergooi, Hilversum, the Netherlands.
Rutger QuispelDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Reinier de Graaf Hospital, Delft, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-6109-9310
Ellert J van SoestDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Spaarne Gasthuis, Haarlem, the Netherlands.
Patrick M VosDepartment of Radiology, St. Pauls Hospital, Vancouver, the Netherlands.
Robert C VerdonkDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Antonius Hospital, Nieuwegein, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-5591-0499
Toon SteinhauserDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Antwerp University Hospital, Antwerp, Belgium.
Eva KouwDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Gelre Hospitals, Zutphen, the Netherlands.
Adriaan C I T L TanDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Canisius Wilhelmina Hospital, Nijmegen, the Netherlands.
Laszlo CzakoCenter of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, University of Szeged, Szeged, Hungary.
Marco J BrunoDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Djuna L CahenDepartment of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
PACYFIC‐Study Work Group

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPancreatic cysts are increasingly discovered on imaging studies performed for unrelated conditions. Currently, surveillance of these lesions poses a substantial burden on patients, and health care recourses. We hypothesized that individuals with small and stable cysts have a diminutive risk of progressing to high-grade dysplasia (HGD) or pancreatic cancer (PC) that is similar to that in the general population.

methodsThis nested PACYFIC-study is a collaboration among 44 centers in Europe and Northern-America, and investigates the risk of HGD and PC for different cyst sizes and growth rates in participants without baseline worrisome features (WF) or high-risk stigmata (HRS).

resultsOf the 2369 PACYFIC participants, 975 met the inclusion criteria, with a mean age of 67 years (SD 13) and 65% being female. Of these, 438 individuals (45%) had a baseline small cyst size (< 15 mm), and 885 (91%) individuals had a slow growth rate (< 2.5 mm/year). During a median follow-up of 45 months (IQR 27), 20 individuals (2.1%) developed HGD, or PC. Individuals with small cysts had a 1.5-fold lower risk of developing WF or HRS (hazard ratio [HR] 0.7 [0.5-1.0], p = 0.03) than those with larger cysts but a similar risk of developing HGD or PC (p > 0.05). Slow growth was protective against the development of WF or HRS (HR 0.4 [0.2-0.6], p < 0.001) and HGD or PC (HR 0.04 [95% CI 0.02-0.12], p < 0.001). Individuals with small, stable sized cysts without baseline WF or HRS did not have a higher risk of HGD or PC than the general population (standardized incidence ratio [SIR] 1.13 [95% CI 0.01-6.30]).

conclusionCyst size < 15 mm and growth rate < 2.5 mm/year appear to be "reassuring" features associated with a negligible risk of developing WF or HRS and HGD or PC. For cysts with these characteristics-and without baseline WF or HRS-less intensive surveillance (than currently recommended) or even cessation may be appropriate.

Indexed as

Pancreatic CystPancreatic NeoplasmsPrecancerous ConditionsAgedDisease ProgressionEuropeFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleMiddle AgedPancreasRisk Factorscyst sizehigh‐grade dysplasiaintraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN)pancreatic cancerpancreatic cyststable cyst growthsurveillance

Identifiers

PMID40530613
PMCPMC12269727

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.