Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40527785›Full record

ArticleMedicine2025

Comparisons of mortality predictions of mROX, CURB-65, and APACHE II in patients with severe pneumonia: A retrospective cohort study.

Jinyuan Zhu, Furui Liu, Honglei Qi, Xue Li, Yonghong Yang, Ying Yang, Zhaojun Wang, Jiali Wu

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Jinyuan ZhuDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, China.ORCID 0000-0001-8637-1336
Furui LiuFirst Clinical College of Medicine, Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, China.
Honglei QiFirst Clinical College of Medicine, Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, China.
Xue LiEmergency Department, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, China.
Yonghong YangFirst Clinical College of Medicine, Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, China.
Ying YangDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, China.
Zhaojun WangDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, China.
Jiali WuEmergency Department, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, China.ORCID 0009-0006-7180-3259

Funding

Key Research and Development Project of Ningxia province 2022BEG03102Ningxia Natural Science Foundation of China 2022AAC03466
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study investigates the efficacy of the modified respiratory rate oxygenation (mROX) index, the CURB-65 score, their combination, and the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score in predicting mortality among patients with severe pneumonia over various time frames. This retrospective cohort study analyzed data from patients admitted with severe pneumonia between January 2017 and December 2023. Patient demographics and 7-, 14-, and 28-day mortality outcomes were collected. The mROX, CURB-65, and APACHE II scores were computed upon hospital admission. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, time-dependent ROC curve, and survival curve analyses were conducted to assess the mortality predictive performance of mROX, CURB-65, and their combination, as well as APACHE II. The study included 140 patients, of whom 100 (71.4%) were male, with a median age of 65.0 years (interquartile range: 24.0). Within 28 days, 91 (65.0%) patients had succumbed. Compared to survivors, deceased patients exhibited higher CURB-65 scores and lower mROX indices. ROC analysis indicated that mROX outperformed CURB-65 and APACHE II in sensitivity, accuracy, and area under the curve (AUC) for predicting 28-day mortality. The combination of mROX and CURB-65 yielded the highest AUC (72.1%), suggesting enhanced mortality prediction accuracy. Time-dependent ROC and AUC analyses demonstrated the superior predictive capability of APACHE II within the initial 7 days post-admission, while mROX and CURB-65, alone or combined, were more effective for predictions beyond 14 days. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis indicated that higher mROX values and lower scores of CURB-65 and the combination of both were associated with reduced mortality risk, whereas APACHE II showed no significant difference in mortality risk. The mROX index, particularly when combined with CURB-65, improves mortality prediction accuracy in severe pneumonia patients beyond 14 days post-admission. The APACHE II score remains a valuable predictor within the first 7 days.

Indexed as

APACHEPneumoniaRespiratory RateAgedFemaleHospital MortalityHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisRetrospective StudiesROC CurveSeverity of Illness IndexAcute Physiology and Chronic Health EvaluationCURB-65modified respiratory rate oxygenation indexmortalityprediction modelsevere pneumonia

Identifiers

PMID40527785
PMCPMC12173283

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.