Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40526729›Full record

ArticlePloS one2025

Global burden of metabolic-associated fatty liver disease among women of childbearing age: Trends from 1990 to 2021 and projections to 2040.

Jiaxing Li, Qihui Hu, Jiajie Leng, Baoyong Zhou, Cong Chen, Yaoyue Hu, Bingdi Chao, Zhenhao Huang, Zhenrui Cao, Zhongling An and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Jiaxing LiDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Bishan Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Qihui HuDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Bishan Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Jiajie LengDepartment of Cardiothoracic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Baoyong ZhouDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Bishan Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Cong ChenDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Bishan Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Yaoyue HuSchool of Public Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Bingdi ChaoDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Bishan Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Zhenhao HuangDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Bishan Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Zhenrui CaoDepartment of Cardiothoracic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Zhongling AnDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Bishan Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Jixing WangDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Bishan Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Dingheng HuDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Rui TaoDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Bishan Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.ORCID 0000-0001-5692-1587

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMetabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is a growing global health concern, particularly among women of childbearing age (WCBA). We aimed to analyze the global burden of MAFLD among WCBA from 1990 to 2021 and project trends to 2040.

methodsData on incidence, prevalence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Joinpoint regression and decomposition analysis were used to assess historical trends, and Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort (BAPC) modeling projected future burdens.

resultsFrom 1990 to 2021, the age-standardized rate (ASR) of MAFLD incidence and prevalence among WCBA increased globally (EAPC = 0.76 and 0.71, respectively). China showed declining trends in deaths (EAPC = -2.63) and DALYs (EAPC = -2.62). By 2040, BAPC modeling predicts a continued rise in global incidence and prevalence, with regional disparities in mortality. Population growth was the primary driver of the global increase in MAFLD incidence, accounting for 63.38% of the rise.

conclusionMAFLD imposes a significant burden on WCBA globally, with socioeconomic disparities driving regional variations. Targeted interventions addressing obesogenic environments and healthcare inequities are urgently needed.

Indexed as

Fatty LiverGlobal Burden of DiseaseAdultBayes TheoremChinaDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceMiddle AgedPrevalenceYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID40526729
PMCPMC12173223

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.