Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40526339›Full record

ArticleEuropean geriatric medicine2025

Development and validation of a predictive nomogram for frailty based on thyroid function in older adults.

Xiaotian Shi, Huayu Yang, Shan Wang, Yifan Yang, Yuanyuan Li, Guoze Dou, Qing Ma

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in European geriatric medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Xiaotian Shi *Department of Geriatrics, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, No. 95 Yong'an Road, Beijing, 100050, People's Republic of China.
Huayu Yang *Department of Geriatrics, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, No. 95 Yong'an Road, Beijing, 100050, People's Republic of China.
Shan WangDepartment of Geriatrics, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, No. 95 Yong'an Road, Beijing, 100050, People's Republic of China.
Yifan YangDepartment of Geriatrics, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, No. 95 Yong'an Road, Beijing, 100050, People's Republic of China.
Yuanyuan LiDepartment of Geriatrics, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, No. 95 Yong'an Road, Beijing, 100050, People's Republic of China.
Guoze DouDepartment of Geriatrics, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, No. 95 Yong'an Road, Beijing, 100050, People's Republic of China.
Qing MaDepartment of Geriatrics, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, No. 95 Yong'an Road, Beijing, 100050, People's Republic of China. maqing3@163.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5423-0325

Funding

Capital's Funds for Health Improvement and Research CFH 2022-2-2028
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThis study aimed to develop and validate a frailty prediction model incorporating thyroid hormone levels in older adults with normal thyroid function.

methodsA total of 767 participants aged ≥ 65 years (566 males, 73.8%) were enrolled between December 2019 and December 2023. Participants were randomly assigned to training (n = 546) and internal validation (n = 235) sets; an external validation cohort was recruited between December 2023 and December 2024. Frailty was assessed using the FRAIL scale. Predictors were selected through LASSO and logistic regression analyses, and a nomogram was constructed for clinical application.

resultsA total of 767 patients were included, with a median age of 81 years. Of these, 205 individuals (26.7%) were classified into the frailty group. The restricted cubic spline plot showed a negative correlation between the FT3/FT4 and frailty after adjusting for multiple confounding factors. Five predictors, age, polypharmacy, MNA.SF score, grip, and FT3/FT4 were incorporated to establish the model. The model performed well achieving AUC values of 0.92 and 0.80 in the development and external validation datasets, respectively. The Calibration curves and DCA results suggested that the model possesses satisfactory predictive performance.

conclusionsWe developed a clinically applicable model to predict frailty in older adults with normal thyroid function, highlighting the relevance of thyroid hormone status in frailty risk assessment.

Indexed as

Frail ElderlyFrailtyGeriatric AssessmentNomogramsThyroid GlandAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansMaleThyroid Function TestsThyroxineThyroxineFrailtyNomogramPrediction modelThyroid hormone

Identifiers

PMID40526339
PMCPMC12528339

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.