Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40522972›Full record

ArticleInflammatory bowel diseases2025

Comparative Predictive Utility of MM-SES-CD and SES-CD for Week 52 Endoscopic Remission in the Ileum and Colon in Crohn's Disease.

Emily C L Wong, Parambir S Dulai, John K Marshall, Vipul Jairath, Walter Reinisch, Neeraj Narula

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Inflammatory bowel diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Emily C L WongDepartment of Medicine (Division of Gastroenterology) and Farncombe Family Digestive Health Research Institute, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-9472-201X
Parambir S DulaiDivision of Gastroenterology, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9514-2321
John K MarshallDepartment of Medicine (Division of Gastroenterology) and Farncombe Family Digestive Health Research Institute, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada.
Vipul JairathDepartment of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology, Western University, London, ON, Canada.
Walter ReinischDepartment of Internal Medicine III, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Medical University of Vienna, Währinger Gürtel 18-20, Vienna, Austria.ORCID 0000-0002-2088-091X
Neeraj NarulaDepartment of Medicine (Division of Gastroenterology) and Farncombe Family Digestive Health Research Institute, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-1536-8436

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn's disease (SES-CD) and Modified Multiplier of the SES-CD (MM-SES-CD) are endoscopic scoring systems used to assess disease severity and response to therapy in CD. This study evaluates their utility at baseline in predicting endoscopic remission (ER) of the ileum and colon at week 52.

methodsThis post-hoc analysis of 4 clinical trials (CT-P13, UNITI, EXTEND, and SEAVUE) compared baseline scores and ER outcomes at week 52 using the SES-CD and MM-SES-CD. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for each scoring system's ability to predict week 52 ER defined by various thresholds was compared.

resultsA total of 667 patients were included in this analysis. At baseline, the median SES-CD score was 8.5 (IQR 5.0-15.7), and the median MM-SES-CD score was 34.8 (IQR 27.5-50.0). MM-SES-CD demonstrated consistently higher AUC values compared to SES-CD across most endpoints in ileal and colonic disease involvement. Among 519 patients with any disease in the ileum, baseline MM-SES-CD demonstrated significantly better predictive accuracy than SES-CD for week 52 SES-CD < 3 [AUC 0.75 (95% CI: 0.71-0.80) vs. 0.64 (95% CI: 0.59-0.70), P = .031]. Similar findings were observed for other definitions of ER. Among 552 participants with colonic disease involvement, baseline MM-SES-CD also demonstrated significantly greater accuracy for predicting week 52 SES-CD < 3 [AUC 0.78 (95% CI: 0.73-0.82) vs. 0.62 (95% CI: 0.57-0.66), P = .002], with similar findings across other definitions of ER assessed. Similar trends were observed across isolated ileal, ileocolonic, and isolated colonic disease.

conclusionThe baseline MM-SES-CD demonstrated superior predictive ability for week 52 ER compared to SES-CD across the ileum and colon. These findings support its utility in clinical trials and in routine practice for predicting long-term treatment response.

Indexed as

ColonColonoscopyCrohn DiseaseIleumSeverity of Illness IndexAdultArea Under CurveFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisRemission InductionROC CurveCrohn’s diseaseMM-SES-CDSES-CD

Identifiers

PMID40522972
PMCPMC12638060

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.