Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40521791›Full record

ArticleOphthalmic & physiological optics : the journal of the British College of Ophthalmic Opticians (Optometrists)2025

Age, gender and regional/ethnic variations in emmetropic axial growth rate.

Thomas Naduvilath, Xiangui He, Kathryn Saunders, Pelsin Demir, Rebecca Leighton, Sara McCullough, Karthikeyan Baskaran, Antonio Filipe Macedo, Xun Xu, Padmaja Sankaridurg and 1 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Ophthalmic & physiological optics : the journal of the British College of Ophthalmic Opticians (Optometrists), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Gender and Refractive Error Stratified Ocular Biometry Percentile Curves in Indian School Children.Ophthalmic & physiological optics : the journal of the British College of Ophthalmic Opticians (Optometrists) · 2026
    Article
  2. Corrected Percentile Curves to Track Myopisation-The Anyang Childhood Eye Study.Ophthalmic & physiological optics : the journal of the British College of Ophthalmic Opticians (Optometrists) · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Age, gender and regional/ethnic variations in emmetropic axial growth rate.Ophthalmic & physiological optics : the journal of the British College of Ophthalmic Opticians (Optometrists) · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Thomas NaduvilathBrien Holden Vision Institute (BHVI), Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8813-2048
Xiangui HeShanghai Eye Disease Prevention and Treatment Centre, Shanghai Eye Hospital, Shanghai Vision Health Centre & Shanghai Children Myopia Institute, Shanghai, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8938-1879
Kathryn SaundersCentre for Optometry and Vision Science, Ulster University, Coleraine, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9289-5731
Pelsin DemirDepartment of Medicine and Optometry, Linnaeus University, Kalmar, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9970-3237
Rebecca LeightonCentre for Optometry and Vision Science, Ulster University, Coleraine, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5562-9055
Sara McCulloughCentre for Optometry and Vision Science, Ulster University, Coleraine, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4438-1154
Karthikeyan BaskaranDepartment of Medicine and Optometry, Linnaeus University, Kalmar, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3745-0035
Antonio Filipe MacedoDepartment of Medicine and Optometry, Linnaeus University, Kalmar, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3436-2010
Xun XuShanghai Eye Disease Prevention and Treatment Centre, Shanghai Eye Hospital, Shanghai Vision Health Centre & Shanghai Children Myopia Institute, Shanghai, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4246-4343
Padmaja SankaridurgSchool of Optometry and Vision Science, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5537-6193
Nina TahhanBrien Holden Vision Institute (BHVI), Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8856-2483

Funding

Department for the Economy Northern IrelandNational Key Research and Development Program of China 2019YFC0840607National Key Research and Development Program of China 2021YFC2702100National Key Research and Development Program of China 2021YFC2702104Science and Technology Innovation Plan Of Shanghai Science and Technology Commission 21S31900800Shanghai Municipal Hospital Development Center SHDC2022CRD015
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimTo determine age-specific axial growth rate in emmetropic eyes and investigate the effect of sex and region/ethnicity using population-based data.

methodsA retrospective analysis of five population-based studies conducted in the United Kingdom, Sweden and China. A total of 16,526 datapoints from 6753 participants, aged 6-16.9 years, with spherical equivalents (SE) from -0.49 to +1 D were analysed. Axial length was modelled using a Generalised Estimating Equation with region/ethnicity and sex included as fixed factors and age, SE and corneal radius of curvature as covariates. Model-based estimates of axial length were used to derive age-specific axial growth rates, maintaining SE at 0.00 D and constant corneal radius of curvature.

resultsWithin this emmetropic population, axial length was weakly correlated with SE (r = -0.24) but strongly associated with corneal curvature (r = 0.76). Gender, region/ethnicity, SE, corneal curvature and inverse function of age were associated with axial length of emmetropic eyes. Axial length was longer in males than females by 0.55 mm (95% CI: 0.53-0.56 mm) in East-Asian emmetropic eyes and by 0.50 mm (95% CI: 0.49-0.52 mm) in European eyes; however, axial growth rate was marginally greater in males by 7%. Axial length of East-Asian eyes was significantly greater than Europeans by 0.14 mm (95% CI: 0.12-0.16 mm) in males and 0.12 mm (95% CI: 0.11-0.14 mm) in females, but axial growth rate was not significantly different between regions/ethnicities (p = 0.06). Axial growth rate decreased non-linearly from 0.17 to 0.03 mm/year in males and 0.16 to 0.02 mm/year in females between 6 and 16 years.

conclusionsEmmetropic axial growth rate between 6 and 16 years is non-uniform with greater growth rate at younger ages and in males. Growth rates estimated by maintaining constant SE and corneal curvature are lower or similar to previous estimates and may be used to set goals for myopia treatment.

Indexed as

Axial Length, EyeEmmetropiaEthnicityAdolescentAge FactorsChildChinaFemaleHumansMaleRefraction, OcularRetrospective StudiesSex FactorsSwedenUnited Kingdomaxial lengthchildrenemmetropiaethnicitygrowth

Identifiers

PMID40521791
PMCPMC12357225

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.