Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40519220›Full record

ArticleBMJ oncology2025

Smoking habit and long-term colorectal cancer incidence by exome-wide mutational and neoantigen loads: evidence based on the prospective cohort incident-tumour biobank method.

Tsuyoshi Hamada, Tomotaka Ugai, Carino Gurjao, Satoko Ugai, Xuehong Zhang, Koichiro Haruki, Yasutoshi Takashima, Naohiko Akimoto, Mai Chan Lau, Kosuke Matsuda and 21 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ oncology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Germline Predisposition to Oncogenic Alkylating Damage in Colorectal Cancer.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2026
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

31 authors.

Tsuyoshi HamadaProgram in MPE Molecular Pathological Epidemiology, Department of Pathology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3937-2755
Tomotaka UgaiProgram in MPE Molecular Pathological Epidemiology, Department of Pathology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0182-5269
Carino GurjaoDepartment of Medical Oncology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Satoko UgaiProgram in MPE Molecular Pathological Epidemiology, Department of Pathology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Xuehong ZhangDepartment of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8260-8508
Koichiro HarukiProgram in MPE Molecular Pathological Epidemiology, Department of Pathology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1686-3228
Yasutoshi TakashimaProgram in MPE Molecular Pathological Epidemiology, Department of Pathology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Naohiko AkimotoProgram in MPE Molecular Pathological Epidemiology, Department of Pathology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Mai Chan LauProgram in MPE Molecular Pathological Epidemiology, Department of Pathology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Kosuke MatsudaProgram in MPE Molecular Pathological Epidemiology, Department of Pathology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Nobuhiro NakazawaProgram in MPE Molecular Pathological Epidemiology, Department of Pathology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Mayu HigashiokaProgram in MPE Molecular Pathological Epidemiology, Department of Pathology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Satoshi MiyaharaProgram in MPE Molecular Pathological Epidemiology, Department of Pathology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Keisuke KosumiProgram in MPE Molecular Pathological Epidemiology, Department of Pathology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Yohei MasugiProgram in MPE Molecular Pathological Epidemiology, Department of Pathology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Li LiuProgram in MPE Molecular Pathological Epidemiology, Department of Pathology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Yin CaoDivision of Public Health Sciences, Department of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.
Daniel NevoDepartment of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Molin WangDepartment of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Reiko NishiharaProgram in MPE Molecular Pathological Epidemiology, Department of Pathology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Sachet A ShuklaDepartment of Hematopoietic Biology and Malignancy, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, USA.
Catherine J WuDepartment of Medical Oncology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Levi A GarrawayDepartment of Medical Oncology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Jeffrey A MeyerhardtDepartment of Medical Oncology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Edward L GiovannucciDepartment of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6123-0219
Jonathan A NowakProgram in MPE Molecular Pathological Epidemiology, Department of Pathology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0943-7407
Charles S FuchsGenentech Inc, South San Francisco, California, USA.
Andrew T ChanBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7284-6767
Mingyang SongDepartment of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Marios GiannakisDepartment of Medical Oncology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9012-6982
Shuji OginoProgram in MPE Molecular Pathological Epidemiology, Department of Pathology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3909-2323

Funding

Statistical MethodsP01CA087969 · NCI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI ELIASSEN, A. HEATHER, TAMIMI, RULLA M · 2000 to 2019
$77.8M
Validity of Diet and Activity Measures in WomenP01CA055075 · NCI · HARVARD UNIVERSITY (SCH OF PUBLIC HLTH) · PI RIMM, ERIC B · 1991 to 2009
$41.8M
Tissue and Pathology ResourcesP50CA127003 · NCI · DANA-FARBER CANCER INST · PI SHIVDASANI, RAMESH A · 2007 to 2023
$33.2M
Long Term Multidisciplinary Study of Cancer in Women: The Nurses Health StudyUM1CA186107 · NCI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI ELIASSEN, A. HEATHER, STAMPFER, MEIR · 2014 to 2023
$22.3M
Cancer Epidemiology Cohort in Male Health ProfessionalsU01CA167552 · NCI · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI Lorelei Mucci, Walter C. Willett · 2017 to 2026
$17.0M
Cancer Epidemiology Cohort in Male Health ProfessionalsUM1CA167552 · NCI · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI WILLETT, WALTER C. · 2012 to 2016
$11.5M
Spatial Immunopathological Epidemiology of Colorectal Adenoma-Carcinoma SpectrumR01CA248857 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI Jonathan Andrew Nowak, Shuji Ogino · 2020 to 2026
$6.6M
Inflammation and Colorectal NeoplasiaR01CA137178 · NCI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI CHAN, ANDREW T · 2009 to 2019
$6.5M
Accelerating Transdisciplinary Epidemiology of Colorectal CancerR35CA197735 · NCI · DANA-FARBER CANCER INST · PI OGINO, SHUJI · 2015 to 2021
$6.0M
Dietary And Lifestyle Determinants Of Colon Cancer Recurrence and SurvivalR01CA118553 · NCI · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI FUCHS, CHARLES S · 2007 to 2019
$4.4M
Impact of Celecoxib and Inflammation on Survival in Stage III Colon CancerR01CA169141 · NCI · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI FUCHS, CHARLES S · 2013 to 2018
$3.9M
The Gut Microbiome, Lifestyle, and Colorectal NeoplasiaU01CA261961 · NCI · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI Mingyang Song · 2022 to 2026
$3.0M
NCI NIH HHS K07 CA188126NCI NIH HHS P01 CA055075NCI NIH HHS P01 CA087969NCI NIH HHS P50 CA127003NCI NIH HHS R01 CA118553NCI NIH HHS R01 CA137178NCI NIH HHS R01 CA151993NCI NIH HHS R01 CA169141NCI NIH HHS R01 CA248857NCI NIH HHS R01 CA285851NCI NIH HHS R35 CA197735NCI NIH HHS R50 CA274122NCI NIH HHS U01 CA167552NCI NIH HHS U01 CA261961NCI NIH HHS UM1 CA167552NCI NIH HHS UM1 CA186107NIDDK NIH HHS K24 DK098311
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objective: To test the hypothesis that the association of smoking with long-term colorectal cancer incidence may be stronger for tumours with higher mutational and neoantigen loads. Methods and analysis: In the Nurses' Health Study (1980-2012) and the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (1986-2012), our novel prospective cohort incident-tumour biobank method (PCIBM) used 3053 incident colorectal carcinoma cases including 752 cases with whole-exome sequencing data. Using the multivariable duplication-method Cox regression model with the inverse probability weighting to adjust for the selection bias due to tissue availability, we assessed a differential association of cigarette smoking with colorectal carcinoma incidence by an exome-wide tumour mutational burden (e-TMB) or neoantigen load. Results: The association of pack-years smoked with colorectal cancer incidence differed by e-TMB (P Conclusions: Smoking is more strongly associated with the long-term incidence of colorectal carcinoma harbouring higher mutational and neoantigen loads. Our PCIBM-based evidence supports the immunosuppressive effect of smoking and the potential of smoking cessation in improving antitumour immunity for cancer prevention and treatment.

Indexed as

Colorectal cancerEpidemiologyGenetic markersImmunogenicityTumour biomarkers

Identifiers

PMID40519220
PMCPMC12164326

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.