Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40518061›Full record

SynthesisClinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association2025

Yield of Advanced Neoplasia at Second Post-polypectomy Surveillance Colonoscopy: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

Pooja Pandita, Yi Le, Mehul Trivedi, Karen Heskett, Joshua Demb, Siddharth Singh, Brian A Sullivan, Lin Liu, Samir Gupta

Registry-linked trialAbstract readSystematic ReviewMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT05994482 (Surveillance Colonoscopy in Older Adults), which is not on this map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT05994482 recruitingnot on this map

Surveillance Colonoscopy in Older Adults: The SurvOlderAdults Study

TypeobservationalSponsorVA Office of Research and DevelopmentRan2023 to 2027Enrolled130,000ConditionsColorectal CancerArmsadenoma vs no adenoma, colonoscopy vs no colonoscopy, survey and expert panel
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Pooja PanditaDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California.
Yi LeJennifer Moreno Veteran Affairs San Diego Healthcare System, La Jolla, California.
Mehul TrivediDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California.
Karen HeskettUniversity of California San Diego, La Jolla, California.
Joshua DembDivision of Gastroenterology, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California.
Siddharth SinghDivision of Gastroenterology, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California.
Brian A SullivanDivision of Gastroenterology, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina; Cooperative Studies Program Epidemiology Center-Durham, Durham VA Health Care System, Durham, North Carolina.
Lin LiuJennifer Moreno Veteran Affairs San Diego Healthcare System, La Jolla, California; Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California.
Samir GuptaDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California; Jennifer Moreno Veteran Affairs San Diego Healthcare System, La Jolla, California; Division of Gastroenterology, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California. Electronic address: s1gupta@health.ucsd.edu.

Funding

San Diego Biomedical Informatics Education & Research (SABER)T15LM011271 · NLM · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI SHAMIM NEMATI · 2012 to 2026
$9.7M
Post-polypectomy Surveillance for Reducing Colon Cancer Incidence and MortalityR37CA222866 · NCI · VETERANS MEDICAL RESEARCH FDN/SAN DIEGO · PI GUPTA, SAMIR · 2018 to 2023
$3.3M
BLRD VA IK2 BX006452HSRD VA I01 HX003605NCI NIH HHS R37 CA222866NLM NIH HHS T15 LM011271
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND &

aimsIndividuals who have had polypectomy and at least one surveillance colonoscopy exam are routinely encountered, but evidence to inform risk for subsequent neoplasia and timing of surveillance is limited. Our aim was to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis of serial surveillance yield.

methodsWe performed a systematic search of research literature databases through September 2024 and identified studies reporting neoplasia yield at baseline colonoscopy and at least 2 surveillance colonoscopies. Summary estimates of advanced neoplasia rates at second surveillance, according to baseline and first surveillance finding combinations (no adenoma, nonadvanced neoplasia, or advanced neoplasia) were pooled.

resultsThe pooled analysis included 5912 individuals from 11 observational studies. The proportion with advanced neoplasia at second surveillance among those with baseline no adenoma was 4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.5%-6.5%) after no adenoma, 7.2% (95% CI, 5.5%-9.4%) after nonadvanced neoplasia, and 11.4% (95% CI, 7.4%-17.2%) after advanced neoplasia at first surveillance, respectively. The proportion with advanced neoplasia at second surveillance among those with baseline nonadvanced neoplasia was 5.4% (95% CI, 3.7%-7.9%) after no adenoma, 9.1% (95% CI, 6.7%-12.3%) after nonadvanced neoplasia, and 20.2% (95% CI, 15.4%-25.9%) after advanced neoplasia at first surveillance, respectively. The proportion with advanced neoplasia at second surveillance among those with baseline advanced neoplasia was 9.1% (95% CI, 6.2%-13.0%) after no adenoma, 12.8% (95% CI, 9.5%-17.0%) after nonadvanced neoplasia, and 26.1% (95% CI, 18.4%-35.5%) after advanced neoplasia at first surveillance, respectively.

conclusionsThese findings support the concept of using results from both the baseline and first surveillance colonoscopies to provide a more accurate risk estimate than using results of only the most recent colonoscopy.

Indexed as

AdenomaColonic PolypsColonoscopyColorectal NeoplasmsEarly Detection of CancerHumansColonoscopy IntervalColorectal CancerColorectal Polyp

Identifiers

PMID40518061
PMCPMC13178805

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.