Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40512797›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2025

Take caution in using LLMs as human surrogates.

Yuan Gao, Dokyun Lee, Gordon Burtch, Sina Fazelpour

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. AI cannot replace human participants in behavioral research.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Persuading large language models to comply with objectionable requests.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Counterfeit judgments in large language models.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  12. The simulation of judgment in LLMs.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Yuan Gao *Department of Information Systems, Questrom School of Business, Boston University, Boston, MA 02215.ORCID 0009-0005-9433-1242
Dokyun Lee *Department of Information Systems, Questrom School of Business, Boston University, Boston, MA 02215.ORCID 0000-0002-3186-3349
Gordon BurtchDepartment of Information Systems, Questrom School of Business, Boston University, Boston, MA 02215.ORCID 0000-0001-9798-1113
Sina FazelpourDepartment of Philosophy and Religion and Khoury College of Computer Sciences, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Recent studies suggest large language models (LLMs) can generate human-like responses, aligning with human behavior in economic experiments, surveys, and political discourse. This has led many to propose that LLMs can be used as surrogates or simulations for humans in social science research. However, LLMs differ fundamentally from humans, relying on probabilistic patterns, absent the embodied experiences or survival objectives that shape human cognition. We assess the reasoning depth of LLMs using the 11-20 money request game. Nearly all advanced approaches fail to replicate human behavior distributions across many models. The causes of failure are diverse and unpredictable, relating to input language, roles, safeguarding, and more. These results warrant caution in using LLMs as surrogates or for simulating human behavior in research.

Indexed as

LanguageCognitionHumansLLMs as a simulationLLMs as human surrogatesLLMs in social science researchSimulations of human behavior

Identifiers

PMID40512797
PMCPMC12184514

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.