Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40510746›Full record

ArticlePopulation research and policy review2025

Perceptions of the Future and Pregnancy Avoidance in the U.S.

Karen Benjamin Guzzo, Anna Belykh, Wendy Manning, Monica Longmore, Peggy Giordano, Sara Roza

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Population research and policy review, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Karen Benjamin GuzzoDepartment of Sociology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, 159 Hamilton Hall, CB#3210, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9718-8465
Anna BelykhDepartment of Sociology, Bowling Green State University, Williams Hall, Bowling Green, OH 43403 USA.
Wendy ManningDepartment of Sociology, Bowling Green State University, Williams Hall, Bowling Green, OH 43403 USA.
Monica LongmoreDepartment of Sociology, Bowling Green State University, Williams Hall, Bowling Green, OH 43403 USA.
Peggy GiordanoDepartment of Sociology, Bowling Green State University, Williams Hall, Bowling Green, OH 43403 USA.
Sara RozaDepartment of Sociology, Bowling Green State University, Williams Hall, Bowling Green, OH 43403 USA.

Funding

Research Services CoreP2CHD050924 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI KAREN B GUZZO · 2015 to 2026
$9.6M
Computing and Data CoreP2CHD050959 · NICHD · BOWLING GREEN STATE UNIVERSITY · PI BROWN, SUSAN L. · 2016 to 2021
$1.2M
U.S. Fertility and the Pandemic: Changing Fertility Plans in an Era of Uncertainty and StressR03HD105848 · NICHD · BOWLING GREEN STATE UNIVERSITY · PI MANNING, WENDY D. · 2021 to 2022
$142k
NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD050924NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD050959NICHD NIH HHS R03 HD105848
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Despite low U.S. fertility rates since the Great Recession, two-child norms remain pervasive, suggesting individuals are unable to achieve their goals. To understand what may be driving the apparent mismatch between goals and behavior, we focus on pregnancy avoidance, as individuals may be deciding against births in the short term rather than deciding not to have any, or any more, children. Further, we incorporate subjective evaluations of the future related to economic and relational factors as well as objective socioeconomic indicators, drawing from the Narratives of the Future framework and Easterlin's theory about expected standard of living. We use data from the 2018-2020 wave of the Toledo Adolescent Relationships Study ( Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11113-025-09962-2.

Indexed as

Economic hardshipFertility intentionsRelationship uncertaintySubjective perceptions

Identifiers

PMID40510746
PMCPMC12152052

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.