Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40510122›Full record

ArticleiScience2025

Preparing to act follows Bayesian inference rules.

Luca Tarasi, Chiara Tabarelli de Fatis, Margherita Covelli, Giuseppe Ippolito, Alessio Avenanti, Vincenzo Romei

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in iScience, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Prior Expectations Bias Confidence Judgments Through Parietal Alpha-Band Modulation.Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Luca TarasiDepartment of Psychology, University of Bologna and Centre for Studies and Research in Cognitive Neuroscience, University of Bologna, Cesena, Italy.
Chiara Tabarelli de FatisDepartment of Psychology, University of Bologna and Centre for Studies and Research in Cognitive Neuroscience, University of Bologna, Cesena, Italy.
Margherita CovelliDepartment of Psychology, University of Bologna and Centre for Studies and Research in Cognitive Neuroscience, University of Bologna, Cesena, Italy.
Giuseppe IppolitoDepartment of Psychology, University of Bologna and Centre for Studies and Research in Cognitive Neuroscience, University of Bologna, Cesena, Italy.
Alessio AvenantiDepartment of Psychology, University of Bologna and Centre for Studies and Research in Cognitive Neuroscience, University of Bologna, Cesena, Italy.
Vincenzo RomeiDepartment of Psychology, University of Bologna and Centre for Studies and Research in Cognitive Neuroscience, University of Bologna, Cesena, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Bayesian brain theories suggest that the human brain sets up predictive models to anticipate sensory evidence. Here, we propose that these models inform the entire functional hierarchy, scaling all the way down to the motor system. To test this hypothesis, 62 participants completed a probabilistic discrimination task while receiving bilateral single-pulse transcranial magnetic simulation (TMS) over the two M1s. Motor-evoked potentials (MEPs) were recorded to assess motor excitability for prior-congruent vs. incongruent actions. Results demonstrated that prior expectations shaped cortico-spinal excitability (CSE) prior to action execution, inhibiting prior-incongruent response preparation. Notably, drift-diffusion modeling revealed that trial-by-trial MEPs variations significantly influenced decision-making bias. Finally, interindividual differences in CSE modulations uncovered two distinct predictive strategies - the

Indexed as

Cognitive neurosciencePsychology

Identifiers

PMID40510122
PMCPMC12159885

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.