Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40509999›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of infectious diseases2025

Serosurveillance Identifies an Endemic Hotspot of Lassa Fever in Faranah, Upper Guinea.

Joachim Mariën, Scott L Nuismer, N'Faly Magassouba, Barré Soropogui, Stephan Günther, Beate Becker-Ziaja, Martin Gabriel, Helena Müller-Kräuter, Thomas Strecker, Almudena Mari Saez and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of infectious diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Climate-driven host ecology as a framework for zoonotic disease risk: Understanding transferability across arenavirus systems.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Nosocomial Outbreak of Lassa Fever in Conakry, Guinea, 2022.The Journal of infectious diseases · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Joachim MariënVirus Ecology Group, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0001-7023-445X
Scott L NuismerDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Idaho, Moscow, Idaho, USA.
N'Faly MagassoubaLaboratoire des fièvres hémorragiques, Conakry, Guinea.
Barré SoropoguiLaboratoire des fièvres hémorragiques, Conakry, Guinea.
Stephan GüntherDepartment of Virology, Bernhard Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine, Hamburg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-6562-0230
Beate Becker-ZiajaDepartment of Virology, Bernhard Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine, Hamburg, Germany.
Martin GabrielDepartment of Diagnostic, Bernhard Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine, Hamburg, Germany.
Helena Müller-KräuterInstitute of Virology, Philipps University Marburg, Marburg, Germany.
Thomas StreckerInstitute of Virology, Philipps University Marburg, Marburg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-7857-937X
Almudena Mari SaezTransVHIMI Unit, French National Institute for Sustainable Development, University of Montpellier, Montpellier, France.ORCID 0000-0002-5429-8485
Matthias BorchertInstitute of International Health, Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Elisabeth Fichet-CalvetDepartment of Implementation Research, Bernhard Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine, Hamburg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-9421-3538

Funding

Department of Economy, Science, and InnovationDeutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft BO 3790/1&2-1Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft FI 1781/1&2-1Horizon Europe program 101191666Horizon Europe program 197785619Horizon Europe program SFB1021
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLassa fever, caused by Lassa virus (LASV), is a rodent-borne disease endemic to West Africa. Despite growing interest from the global health community, the overall disease burden remains poorly understood due to persistent underreporting and inadequate diagnostic capacities. This study aimed to assess LASV infection dynamics in rural Guinea, addressing gaps in understanding its epidemiology in endemic settings.

methodsA cross-sectional serosurveillance study was conducted across 6 villages in Faranah, Guinea, involving 1306 participants. Serum samples were analyzed for LASV-specific antibodies using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay, and a subset confirmed via immunofluorescence and neutralization assays. Statistical and mathematical models were used to estimate key epidemiological parameters, including the force of infection, antibody waning rates, and infection prevalence.

resultsOverall, IgG seroprevalence was 82.3%, while IgM prevalence stood at 1.8%. Seroprevalence of IgG exceeded 50% by age 5 and increased steadily with age, indicating lifelong exposure. Antibody waning rates suggested an average IgG persistence of 58 years. Mathematical analysis showed that halving LASV prevalence would require a 10-fold reduction in the force of spillover, highlighting the challenges of effective control measures.

conclusionsThe seroprevalence observed in this study was markedly higher than reported elsewhere in West Africa, identifying Faranah as a hotspot for LASV transmission. Despite the high seroprevalence and estimated force of infection, the number of reported acute cases is very low, suggesting that LASV may frequently cause pauci- or asymptomatic infections or be commonly misdiagnosed for other diseases. These findings underscore that LASV is more widespread than assumed in rural Guinea.

Indexed as

Antibodies, ViralDisease HotspotEndemic DiseasesLassa FeverLassa virusAdolescentAdultAgedChildChild, PreschoolCross-Sectional StudiesEnzyme-Linked Immunosorbent AssayFemaleGuineaHumansImmunoglobulin GAntibodies, ViralImmunoglobulin GImmunoglobulin Mforce of infectionLassa IgGMastomys natalensisseroreversionspillover reductionWest Africa

Identifiers

PMID40509999
PMCPMC12614985

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.