Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40504159›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2025

Whole-genome duplication leads to significant but inconsistent changes in climatic niche.

Patrick G Meirmans, Filip Kolář

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Ecological opportunity and the onset of polyploid niche expansion waves.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Patrick G MeirmansInstitute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam 1098XH, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-6395-8107
Filip KolářDepartment of Botany, Charles University of Prague, Prague 128 01, Czechia.ORCID 0000-0002-8793-7992

Funding

Akademie Věd České Republiky (CAS) RVO 67985939EC | European Research Council (ERC) ERC-StG 850852Grantová Agentura České Republiky (GAČR) 22-29078 K
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Polyploidization (whole-genome duplication, WGD) is a widespread large-effect macromutation with far-reaching genomic, phenotypic, and evolutionary consequences. Yet, we do not know whether the consistent phenotypic changes that are associated with polyploidization translate into predictable changes in ecological preferences. Niche modeling studies in mixed-ploidy species provide an opportunity to compare recently originated polyploids with their lower-ploidy ancestors. However, the available isolated studies provide contrasting results and the diverse methodologies used limit generalization. Based on 25,857 georeferenced ploidy-verified occurrence data for 129 mixed-ploidy flowering plant species, we tested in a unified statistical framework whether WGD is associated with consistent changes in climatic niche and in past, current, and predicted future range size. We found that 74% of species exhibited significant niche shifts associated with ploidy transition. However, there was no consistent environmental parameter underlying ploidy differentiation across species, nor was there consistent support for polyploid range or niche expansion in a subset of 75 densely sampled species with sufficient data for modeling. Our results demonstrate that polyploidization is an important factor affecting niche evolution of a species, but the environmental parameters underlying the ploidy-related niche shifts vary from species to species, demonstrating limited predictability of the outcomes of WGD in ecological space.

Indexed as

ClimateEcosystemGene DuplicationGenome, PlantMagnoliopsidaPolyploidyBiological EvolutionPloidiesecological differentiationenvironmental niche modellingmeta-analysisniche evolutionpolyploidy

Identifiers

PMID40504159
PMCPMC12184512

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.