Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40502443›Full record

ArticleBioinformatics advances2025

Predictive machine learning model for 30-day hospital readmissions in a tertiary healthcare setting.

Diego Halac, Cecilia Cocucci, Sebastian Camerlingo

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Bioinformatics advances, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  3. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Diego HalacDepartamento de Medicina Interna, Sanatorio Anchorena de San Martin, Perdriel 4189, CP: 1650. Gral. San Martin, Provincia de Buenos Aires, Argentina.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0008-6683-8160
Cecilia CocucciInstituto de Efectividad Clinica y Sanitaria (IECS), Dr. Emilio Ravignani 2024, CP:1414 CABA, Argentina.
Sebastian CamerlingoInstituto de Efectividad Clinica y Sanitaria (IECS), Dr. Emilio Ravignani 2024, CP:1414 CABA, Argentina.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Motivation: Hospital readmissions represent a major challenge for healthcare systems due to their impact on patient outcomes and associated costs. As many readmissions are considered preventable, predictive modeling offers a valuable tool for early identification and intervention. This study aimed to develop and validate a predictive model for 30-day readmissions in a 200-bed community hospital in Argentina. A retrospective analysis was conducted on 3388 adult admissions. The primary endpoint was readmission within 30 days of discharge. Predictor variables included demographic and clinical factors such as age, length of stay, hypertension, diabetes, heart failure, coronary artery disease, stroke, cancer, dementia, chronic kidney disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and bedridden status. Three models-Logistic Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF), and LightGBM (LGBM)-were developed, with hyperparameter tuning via Bayesian optimization. Model performance was assessed using calibration, discrimination (C-statistics), and decision curve analysis. Internal validation was performed using 250 bootstrap resamples. Results: The readmission rate was 11% ( Availability and implementation: The dataset and code used to develop and validate the predictive models are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request. The implementation was conducted in R using the mlr3verse, pminternal, rms, dcurves, data.table, tidyverse, ranger and lightgbm packages, with Bayesian hyperparameter optimization via mlr3mbo.

Identifiers

PMID40502443
PMCPMC12158157

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.